NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71297e8acdf0d014c9101eda4ab9d853a5a53795a34dc3c7bcf8594bec80b36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $979,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Pelicans | 52c | 777,959$403,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403,884.79 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Nuggets | 48c | 500,000$240,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 48c | 150,000$72,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe73e…74febacked Nuggets | 49c | 50,197$24,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,448.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Nuggets | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,499.95 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Nuggets | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Nuggets | 50c | 23,872$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,991.62 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Nuggets | 50c | 17,530$8,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,764.78 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Pelicans | 53c | 17,491$9,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,270 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 51c | 16,152$8,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.66 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbea3…be9abacked Pelicans | 53c | 15,094$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Pelicans | 51c | 14,159$7,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,270.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pelicans | 50c | 10,127$5,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,074.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,744$4,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,951.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 7,910$3,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.19 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,181$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.28 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 53c | 5,129$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.62 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 51c | 5,048$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.13 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…0599backed Nuggets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.98 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Nuggets | 50c | 3,038$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.55 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pelicans | 51c | 3,001$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.51 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Nuggets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Pelicans | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 2,400$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Pelicans | 53c | 2,247$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.91 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,195$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,188$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.76 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,181$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,109$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.52 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…a8eebacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…d157backed Nuggets | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…512fbacked Pelicans | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af9…1d6ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 1,611$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.69 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,594$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.71 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.16 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Pelicans | 51c | 1,326$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.57 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Pelicans | 50c | 1,255$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Nuggets | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.44 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…d900backed Nuggets | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Pelicans | 49c | 996.67$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.37 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 49c | 992.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.29 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…fc93backed Nuggets | 50c | 912$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Pelicans | 50c | 910$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pelicans | 50c | 896.8$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…bffcbacked Nuggets | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Pelicans | 52c | 716.94$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.81 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 582.42$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.42 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Pelicans | 55c | 545.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Nuggets | 50c | 531.08$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.54 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…32c4backed Pelicans | 53c | 460.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 48c | 457.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nuggets | 48c | 446.54$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.46 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nuggets | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Nuggets | 51c | 408.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.04 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nuggets | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Nuggets | 49c | 399.51$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Nuggets | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Pelicans | 49c | 292.54$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.34 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Pelicans | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nuggets | 32c | 282.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Nuggets | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 230 | 42.6%98 W · 132 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Nuggets | 51c | 252.8$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 48c | 244.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Nuggets | 49c | 243.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Nuggets | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Nuggets | 49c | 234.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…829bbacked Nuggets | 50c | 209$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Pelicans | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…49f1backed Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +48%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Nuggets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Nuggets | 51c | 196.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Nuggets | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e9…ef4dbacked Nuggets | 51c | 178.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Pelicans | 64c | 160.39$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Pelicans | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nuggets | 48c | 153$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.43 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Nuggets | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Nuggets | 39c | 147.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Pelicans | 52c | 143.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.29 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -11.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Nuggets | 39c | 131.01$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.21 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed Nuggets | 47c | 126.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pelicans | 55c | 126.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Pelicans | 50c | 126.44$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Pelicans | 52c | 125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf891…d3b6backed Nuggets | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pelicans | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Nuggets | 49c | 113.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…066ebacked Nuggets | 50c | 108$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.