NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f46d8891354c5aea6628a4152c00458d4cfa197450db824ce6ead6a9666eb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 42,299$19,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,745.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 56c | 22,917$12,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,789.72 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 57c | 11,046$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,279.4 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 44c | 9,810$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 56c | 8,216$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.92 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 45c | 7,454$3,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,110.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 6,645$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.27 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb67…748abacked Under | 52c | 5,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 53c | 4,747$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 4,666$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,569.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 4,537$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.55 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,429.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 4,206$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.85 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…e3d1backed Over | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,753$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…29c7backed Over | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 1,949$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.74 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…54cebacked Under | 51c | 1,820$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 51c | 1,547$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.01 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 1,400$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.79 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 9c | 1,388$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 50c | 1,046$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.06 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 48c | 1,029$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…822cbacked Over | 48c | 958.33$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.33 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 918.33$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.41 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 41c | 755.21$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.75 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 617.9$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.49 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 45c | 538.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.68 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 514.01$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.29 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Under | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 85 | 11.8%10 W · 75 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 43c | 479.3$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.63 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 48c | 414.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 56c | 358.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 46c | 271.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.5 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed Over | 50c | 249.45$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.61 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 213.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.31 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 44c | 209.05$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…a291backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 45c | 199$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.45 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x260a…4282backed Under | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 154.21$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 45c | 146.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Under | 46c | 138$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 58c | 132.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Under | 48c | 129$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.92 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Over | 52c | 122.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 56c | 120.97$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 52c | 119.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 43c | 108.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d709backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 79.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Under | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Under | 57c | 64.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8724…5d4abacked Over | 45c | 60.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked Under | 55c | 54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 46c | 50.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 54c | 48.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 44c | 48.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c1…a2d1backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…74b7backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Under | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 47c | 35.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 53c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Under | 54c | 33.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…72a4backed Over | 48c | 33.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 44c | 30.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 397 | 56.7%225 W · 172 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Under | 56c | 26.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 42c | 26.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 55c | 24.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 53c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 58c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…d2bbbacked Under | 49c | 20.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Nuggets vs. PelicansNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 232.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.