NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c78f9f7566af481a4670c629004f97316803d2841517c758afe76cf6789c93a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,395,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,403,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,395,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 481 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Wild | 52c | 533,759$276,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256,924.86 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 50c | 429,701$214,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214,957.63 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 291,986$140,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140,153.29 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 270,620$134,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,477.94 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 174,030$87,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,015.18 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 83,000$40,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,319.96 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 74,000$37,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,000 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 50,030$24,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,514.5 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Wild | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.91 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Wild | 51c | 30,226$15,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,813.12 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wild | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,700 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 18,177$9,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,096.72 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 17,587$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 16,113$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752.11 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 15,111$7,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.56 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wild | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Wild | 51c | 13,551$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,639.98 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Maple Leafs | 0c | 12,826$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 49c | 11,638$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.04 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 11,294$5,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,534 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 11,190$5,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,429.53 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Maple Leafs | 42c | 10,143$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 8,000$3,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,980 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 7,032$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 0c | 7,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Maple Leafs | 16c | 6,925$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.13 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,893$3,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.51 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Wild | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wild | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Wild | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.91 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Wild | 51c | 4,532$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.68 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,213$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.16 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wild | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,824$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,723$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,657$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.73 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…de52backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,459$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,364$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.52 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 2,200$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 8c | 2,182$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771c…e709backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…247dbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…573cbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,988$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d6a6backed Wild | 47c | 1,976$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 58c | 1,930$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild | 48c | 1,926$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.51 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c2d8backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,920$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab7…b261backed Wild | 48c | 1,905$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Wild | 51c | 1,902$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7283…b955backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,850$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…76d0backed Wild | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 1,762$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…0a95backed Wild | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,675$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.02 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…7daebacked Wild | 55c | 1,671$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c37…8258backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,608$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,546$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.19 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.61 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,503$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.49 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Wild | 48c | 1,475$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,452$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.48 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,427$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.24 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,402$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.29 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf74a…a91cbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,328$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.35 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,299$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.28 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,289$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.29 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,240$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 23c | 1,167$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.39 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,165$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.12 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 46c | 1,111$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.92 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Wild | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,035$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.17 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Wild | 48c | 994.4$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.09 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Wild | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…149bbacked Wild | 51c | 938.33$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 933.96$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 51c | 859$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.78 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…d5c6backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 850$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Wild | 50c | 838.32$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.16 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…575fbacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 832.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wild | 51c | 823.53$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.53 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Wild | 51c | 818.33$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972e…71d6backed Maple Leafs | 16c | 795.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Wild won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.