NFL · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39be54f735f3aca38d52bd0109bc85859a78efc8c443369028a447083a0d7e77

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 12, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,419,467
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,345,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,419,467 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	3c	192,940$4,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,869.55	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Yes	3c	159,250$4,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,827.77	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	3c	141,913$3,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,770.85	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	136,015$2,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.37	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	3c	135,646$3,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,842.15	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	3c	104,089$2,690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,690.41	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	3c	93,789$2,623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,623	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	2c	92,278$2,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,106.94	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes	2c	80,317$1,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,962.55	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	3c	79,309$2,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,561.39	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes	3c	63,793$1,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,828.61	73	4.1%3 W · 70 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	3c	61,653$1,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,709.67	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	3c	60,249$1,552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.32	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	3c	56,924$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,581.08	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc09…95e2backed Yes	0c	56,836$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.69	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	2c	47,743$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,161.5	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3160…c652backed Yes	4c	47,117$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,692.91	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	4c	40,438$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.45	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	5c	39,097$1,983 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,982.59	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	3c	34,573$997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.34	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	2c	34,258$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.53	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0cb…4e22backed Yes	1c	34,047$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Yes	3c	31,279$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$917.94	147	57.1%84 W · 63 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Yes	3c	29,928$809 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.57	54	24.1%13 W · 41 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0d9…ca67backed Yes	3c	28,051$864 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$863.84	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+4.4wins	+0.13per pick	36cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	3c	27,979$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.74	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	3c	26,666$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.53	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	2c	26,646$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.44	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	0c	26,632$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.59	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2c…5c34backed Yes	4c	23,517$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$838.62	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	2c	22,556$562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.89	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Yes	3c	21,851$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	3c	20,977$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.09	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf726…7e8bbacked Yes	3c	20,205$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.52	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.1wins	+0.15per pick	28cpaid	+54%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Yes	3c	20,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+4.4wins	+0.34per pick	43cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Yes	3c	19,907$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.52	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	2c	19,427$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.49	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes	4c	18,702$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.07	75	44%33 W · 42 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4a…2215backed Yes	3c	18,526$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.23	172	48.3%83 W · 89 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc612…7d6dbacked Yes	3c	18,492$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.16	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes	3c	17,980$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.45	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	2c	17,368$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.37	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9811…5de5backed Yes	3c	16,900$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.3	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	2cpaid	+346.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cdc…ab3abacked Yes	3c	16,225$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…ca99backed Yes	2c	15,300$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.1	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	14,992$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.22	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	14,653$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.73	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d04…8859backed Yes	4c	13,706$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-74.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	2c	12,737$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.91	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	3c	12,600$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.54	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes	3c	12,586$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.3	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdcde…4e4cbacked Yes	3c	12,405$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	2c	12,000$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.02	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes	2c	12,000$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec6…cd1fbacked Yes	3c	11,000$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.49	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a3…961abacked Yes	5c	10,685$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$494.49	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	3c	10,542$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.79	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	4c	10,522$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.21	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	3c	10,396$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.03	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f3b…0cf9backed Yes	3c	10,077$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.4wins	+0.14per pick	62cpaid	+23.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3b9…9ce4backed Yes	2c	10,001$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	86	39.5%34 W · 52 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	3c	10,000$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.17	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Yes	4c	10,000$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Yes	2c	10,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.99	60	45%27 W · 33 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	9,950$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.73	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	5c	9,587$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.54	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	3c	9,569$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.16	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9af5…5312backed Yes	5c	9,264$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.11per pick	12cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2af2…9aa5backed Yes	6c	9,004$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	3c	8,889$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.22	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	3c	8,807$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.26	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	+156.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1919…351cbacked Yes	3c	8,464$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.04	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6357…088dbacked Yes	3c	8,333$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes	2c	8,291$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.82	148	37.2%55 W · 93 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes	3c	8,134$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.49	150	44.7%67 W · 83 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	3c	8,052$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.51	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	2c	8,000$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes	2c	7,498$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes	5c	7,368$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.5	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Yes	3c	7,069$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.7	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Yes	2c	7,000$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.5	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+7.5wins	+0.11per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd016…06adbacked Yes	4c	6,859$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c6…6657backed Yes	3c	6,669$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	5c	6,503$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.37	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeeb…e6b0backed Yes	3c	6,474$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Yes	3c	6,356$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	166	48.2%80 W · 86 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46ec…3db5backed Yes	3c	6,318$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.11	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	3c	6,089$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.17	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4314…bb3dbacked Yes	2c	6,081$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes	3c	6,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.5	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x415f…8e88backed Yes	2c	5,915$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…1bb0backed Yes	3c	5,862$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed Yes	3c	5,800$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	4c	5,662$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.26	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb662…1d6fbacked Yes	3c	5,621$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes	3c	5,600$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.66	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e54…5424backed Yes	3c	5,556$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes	3c	5,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x090c…b0cfbacked Yes	3c	5,421$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.36	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf961…62bbbacked Yes	3c	5,342$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.39	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event