TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,848,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,939,337

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,848,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,711 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb41a…3a25backed Yes1c8,837,271$50,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,994.36160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes0c6,814,782$25,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,641.75110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes1c6,390,719$43,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,042.64283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+175.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f2…7862backed Yes1c3,570,234$19,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,351.17130%0 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e2a…07bfbacked Yes1c1,666,667$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d48…2852backed Yes0c1,570,354$7,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,682.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Yes1c699,998$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.992010%2 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-82.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes1c615,511$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.08454.4%2 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+74%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes1c542,256$3,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.62329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes0c541,638$2,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,041.15319.7%3 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-81.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf541…74f7backed Yes1c499,999$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes0c436,561$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.51323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+160.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes1c420,000$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-82.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c310,402$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.611769.1%16 W · 160 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8225…162fbacked Yes1c304,299$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,672.1640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c288,079$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.71323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes1c254,999$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355160%0 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes0c251,000$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes1c229,197$2,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,806.93147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick5cpaid-85.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb56…f814backed Yes1c203,000$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes1c170,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0601811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1b…66bfbacked Yes1c142,180$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x778c…f3afbacked Yes0c120,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903815.8%6 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-75.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd65d…dcf3backed Yes1c117,924$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10d…c068backed Yes1c117,043$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a10…8653backed Yes1c116,181$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf82e…102fbacked Yes1c115,945$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x248c…caebbacked Yes1c115,679$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7ccdbacked Yes1c115,521$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…84d8backed Yes1c115,226$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b7…f7fabacked Yes1c114,960$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a9a…bc14backed Yes1c114,900$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3412…9c13backed Yes1c114,643$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa966…2000backed Yes1c113,748$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3425…c2f8backed Yes1c112,529$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb7…27f1backed Yes1c102,381$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d1c…f4c7backed Yes1c101,000$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes1c90,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f4…b6bdbacked Yes0c86,722$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes0c80,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35070%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2336…9e65backed Yes1c80,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23b7…fbd0backed Yes1c75,610$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.66520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f8…e156backed Yes1c74,850$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.82737%10 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x477c…d2a2backed Yes0c73,356$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c73,000$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452323.1%1 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid+66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c73,000$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+156.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…1895backed Yes1c70,025$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.18520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-60%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7023…551fbacked Yes1c66,740$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.44520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…2bf4backed Yes1c63,929$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…7311backed Yes1c63,900$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…e2dbbacked Yes1c63,614$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8296…8bc0backed Yes1c63,600$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871f…5a42backed Yes1c63,529$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5d…d912backed Yes1c63,429$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe4b…8beabacked Yes1c63,329$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e0…b868backed Yes1c63,129$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975d…0764backed Yes1c63,000$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x980a…1bb5backed Yes1c62,857$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a27…1a24backed Yes1c62,243$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d5…77cebacked Yes1c61,100$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1623…d4b0backed Yes1c60,986$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd822…82d7backed Yes1c60,700$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c60,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24080%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e6e…d2c2backed Yes1c54,717$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Yes1c53,745$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.452626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa484…b74cbacked Yes1c53,571$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7928…edf8backed Yes0c53,500$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef47…e705backed Yes1c53,429$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb1…9003backed Yes1c53,288$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5611…b0d6backed Yes1c53,000$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x010f…6a38backed Yes1c51,867$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b6e…e6a4backed Yes1c51,143$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…1276backed Yes0c50,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid-40.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Yes1c50,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fe…bc74backed Yes1c50,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick25cpaid-28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c00…e3a2backed Yes1c50,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd43…df4cbacked Yes1c50,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34090%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa056…df14backed Yes1c49,883$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe7e…d9b3backed Yes1c48,571$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f66…6d56backed Yes1c45,449$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd99…ee29backed Yes1c45,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…450cbacked Yes1c44,257$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e30…5db1backed Yes1c43,607$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79c…7a6cbacked Yes1c43,524$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08fc…583bbacked Yes1c42,952$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c5…5264backed Yes1c42,652$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa013…1057backed Yes1c42,618$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.7120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80da…ae99backed Yes1c42,261$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x896d…1c25backed Yes1c42,148$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x797d…b652backed Yes1c42,131$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeeb…c6ccbacked Yes1c41,937$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.6220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee8c…3cf8backed Yes1c41,560$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6137…3d05backed Yes1c41,460$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c05…3585backed Yes1c41,389$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e96…d558backed Yes1c41,383$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a93…c9f0backed Yes1c41,378$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.2720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a1…ee6dbacked Yes1c41,132$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b3…cb32backed Yes1c40,944$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ff…13a2backed Yes1c40,883$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbcf…9116backed Yes1c40,814$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.