NFL · resolved market

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x918ad84643db0f17ffc10e46b5f5088f2cb775bf2162c7462f23ae212c3166cd

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 25, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $3,076,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,611,343

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,076,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 603 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x067f…e041backed Yes	4c	222,449$9,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,611.11	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Yes	12c	127,812$14,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,779.29	274	54.7%150 W · 124 L	+13.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8b3…5de3backed Yes	1c	104,441$724 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-62.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	5c	77,017$3,922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,921.83	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f73…f55dbacked Yes	2c	75,637$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.39	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.32per pick	43cpaid	+46.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	7c	47,538$3,222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,222	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	7c	45,051$3,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,214.13	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	7c	41,859$3,028 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,028.44	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	7c	40,697$2,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,803.72	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	8c	38,411$3,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,014.57	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	2c	37,308$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.98	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes	1c	36,489$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.45	168	60.7%102 W · 66 L	+18.7wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	4c	35,764$1,253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,253.28	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	8c	33,012$2,626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,626.31	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	7c	31,780$2,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,301	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cf…88fabacked Yes	0c	30,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	22cpaid	-32%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	6c	29,665$1,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.42	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5607…d320backed Yes	10c	29,089$2,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,878.86	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+78.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67f9…d241backed Yes	4c	28,340$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.84	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	15cpaid	-42%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae1…bab3backed Yes	6c	27,916$1,799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.17	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	7c	27,815$1,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,967.33	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	8c	26,872$2,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,045.52	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ed…c97fbacked Yes	7c	24,156$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0fbf…06d4backed Yes	6c	23,891$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Yes	6c	22,870$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,276.15	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	10c	22,729$2,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,212.36	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes	7c	21,458$1,450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.59	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc74…ed10backed Yes	1c	20,920$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae24…07c2backed Yes	9c	19,999$1,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,859.94	39	41%16 W · 23 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	10c	19,971$1,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,981.16	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Yes	9c	19,484$1,757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,756.78	239	37.7%90 W · 149 L	-9.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes	4c	19,267$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.62	71	31%22 W · 49 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	10c	17,739$1,835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,835.24	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	1c	15,911$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.18	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	4c	15,909$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587.59	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae42…7feabacked Yes	1c	14,742$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	7c	14,423$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.55	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	6c	14,344$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.59	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	7c	13,643$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902.37	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+74%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Yes	7c	13,471$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.71	228	38.6%88 W · 140 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	8c	12,915$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046.42	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes	12c	12,825$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.54	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48e…a144backed Yes	3c	12,521$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.06	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	7c	12,500$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	1c	12,307$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.18	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	11c	11,495$1,286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,285.8	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes	9c	11,367$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	10c	10,935$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.92	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb2…14d6backed Yes	10c	10,155$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	10,062$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.01	567	9.9%56 W · 511 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	10c	10,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…781fbacked Yes	10c	9,798$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$984.84	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c68…d09cbacked Yes	4c	9,757$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.47	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	+7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	6c	9,568$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.21	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	6c	9,469$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.24	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	-12.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes	11c	9,399$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.93	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f2…dabfbacked Yes	5c	9,124$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x48b7…2a30backed Yes	13c	8,677$1,123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,123.43	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1304…8bf1backed Yes	12c	8,422$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	9c	8,045$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.93	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe835…9dccbacked Yes	1c	8,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes	4c	7,803$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb25e…4563backed Yes	12c	7,727$924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa10a…28b1backed Yes	6c	7,109$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-68.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	8c	7,088$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.33	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes	5c	5,915$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.07	181	40.9%74 W · 107 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8210…b328backed Yes	7c	5,906$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa54…c182backed Yes	9c	5,769$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.65	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d1…0220backed Yes	7c	5,600$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.96	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Yes	5c	5,528$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.43	100	61%61 W · 39 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	4c	5,483$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.55	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	5c	5,340$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.02	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes	7c	5,273$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.11	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Yes	9c	5,250$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.46	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	9c	5,210$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.88	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	3c	5,082$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.7	66	7.6%5 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-81%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-5.4wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed Yes	11c	5,000$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	8cpaid	+601.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ec6…cd1fbacked Yes	4c	5,000$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	4,805$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.82	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	9c	4,702$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$438.19	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x600b…42dcbacked Yes	10c	4,685$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.39	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+160.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes	9c	4,170$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.03	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes	12c	4,165$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…675ebacked Yes	4c	4,050$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.89	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	7c	4,000$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	9c	3,996$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.64	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+184.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes	9c	3,845$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.12	104	34.6%36 W · 68 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7816…ce35backed Yes	8c	3,757$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	79	63.3%50 W · 29 L	+6.2wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes	9c	3,725$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes	4c	3,647$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.14	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…414fbacked Yes	8c	3,593$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes	10c	3,548$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.65	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	3,361$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes	9c	3,314$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	163	44.8%73 W · 90 L	+9.0wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf869…f264backed Yes	9c	3,164$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	40cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x60b8…945fbacked Yes	5c	3,125$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes	10c	3,006$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0274…307bbacked Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31c6…6657backed Yes	4c	2,919$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event