NFL · resolved market
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdb1bd342b9e2ade01add3bac20cbdd38d377de978b0396c4f3ed47a4c6d89d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,256,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,956,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,256,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 349,999$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 254,925$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.61 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 199,692$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.72 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 163,316$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.43 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 160,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…4f22backed Yes | 5c | 158,426$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 1c | 141,131$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4314…bb3dbacked Yes | 0c | 114,000$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 6c | 104,615$5,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.71 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 95,571$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.41 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 84,695$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.46 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 4c | 81,717$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.75 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…5259backed Yes | 0c | 78,667$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes | 1c | 73,659$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.98 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…55ffbacked Yes | 0c | 67,400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 57,793$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.14 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 2c | 57,527$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.92 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 54,438$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.44 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 3c | 41,915$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.94 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…2853backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Yes | 5c | 37,299$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 5c | 34,893$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.39 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 4c | 34,202$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.98 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5607…d320backed Yes | 7c | 33,331$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3c…7efbbacked Yes | 2c | 33,279$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 5c | 31,652$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.71 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes | 6c | 31,520$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.37 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 30,966$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 7c | 30,145$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.1 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f7d8backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes | 7c | 28,016$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed Yes | 3c | 27,395$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 7c | 24,929$1,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.29 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 24,778$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 1c | 23,750$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.07 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 8c | 23,294$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.19 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 4c | 23,170$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.41 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…97d8backed Yes | 0c | 22,266$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 5c | 22,165$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.65 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 1c | 21,309$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.83 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 6c | 21,250$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.57 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 20,830$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.96 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 4c | 20,578$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.47 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 7c | 20,000$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +601.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…cf02backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Yes | 4c | 20,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…558dbacked Yes | 0c | 19,826$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe6…2770backed Yes | 2c | 19,772$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 7c | 19,620$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.94 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 1c | 19,503$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.79 | 263 | 31.6%83 W · 180 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 5c | 18,982$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.61 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 2c | 18,325$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Yes | 1c | 17,331$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…a3cdbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72f…ba44backed Yes | 1c | 16,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 6c | 15,204$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.44 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 2c | 14,203$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.41 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe83…db76backed Yes | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 13,838$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.76 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…06adbacked Yes | 0c | 13,718$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 13,498$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…40fabacked Yes | 0c | 12,333$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95d9backed Yes | 0c | 12,311$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 12,092$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…eac3backed Yes | 4c | 12,080$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Yes | 0c | 11,755$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ed…f602backed Yes | 0c | 11,341$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…cd51backed Yes | 0c | 11,113$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…6552backed Yes | 0c | 10,321$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 7c | 10,004$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.67 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…8c68backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…e8adbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0839…698ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b4…8376backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…c40abacked Yes | 0c | 9,994$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Yes | 8c | 9,862$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.91 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 0c | 9,738$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…a080backed Yes | 0c | 9,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa215…ea50backed Yes | 0c | 9,667$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 5c | 9,597$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.42 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.