NFL · resolved market

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x632d9c1f768b65f774aa506811204f37b5d45de6d8adecc494beba3f447dfd8c

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 11, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,023,623
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,261,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,023,623 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 707 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2c9d…eab9backed Yes	5c	237,541$12,273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,272.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4947…4f22backed Yes	7c	174,608$12,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,010.44	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042e…247fbacked Yes	4c	151,381$5,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,620	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	6c	81,665$5,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,049.2	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	5c	80,119$3,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,736.33	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	6c	78,999$4,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,374.46	224	34.4%77 W · 147 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…ba65backed Yes	6c	71,279$4,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,101.36	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes	4c	68,030$2,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,966.23	205	42%86 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+35.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Yes	4c	61,861$2,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,704.1	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	5c	61,044$2,984 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,983.51	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	9c	53,311$4,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,770.28	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	7c	51,501$3,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,576.4	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	3c	50,172$1,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.27	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	5c	48,208$2,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.18	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x309f…9282backed Yes	9c	45,525$3,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,997.67	75	57.3%43 W · 32 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a55…394ebacked Yes	5c	40,567$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010.39	66	39.4%26 W · 40 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa26…c232backed Yes	0c	37,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes	11c	31,185$3,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,521.83	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	4c	30,777$1,284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,284.43	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	27,642$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.94	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-56.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71e…caf5backed Yes	0c	25,750$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes	7c	24,800$1,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,703.97	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes	6c	23,559$1,497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496.57	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes	6c	20,556$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.7	84	28.6%24 W · 60 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes	7c	19,687$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.47	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x741b…0468backed Yes	7c	19,584$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,331.81	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+156.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	8c	19,455$1,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.44	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	3c	17,670$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$613.12	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21da…db76backed Yes	13c	17,212$2,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,210.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes	6c	17,181$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.23	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+98%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	9c	17,119$1,493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,492.52	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x315f…5593backed Yes	4c	17,029$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes	6c	16,807$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.72	88	18.2%16 W · 72 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	6c	16,711$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$966.77	20	5%1 W · 19 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+170.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5e…ca99backed Yes	6c	15,168$873 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$873.1	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes	6c	14,594$811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811	52	23.1%12 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	14,382$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.5	230	24.3%56 W · 174 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bfc…5fd4backed Yes	9c	14,313$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,259.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb48e…a144backed Yes	5c	13,491$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.06	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	9c	13,451$1,179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.52	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes	4c	13,183$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.35	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.44per pick	31cpaid	+258.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes	8c	12,734$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.24	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Yes	13c	12,004$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560.52	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	+7.3wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdedb…c554backed Yes	4c	11,504$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	6c	10,944$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.2	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	10,899$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.77	67	4.5%3 W · 64 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes	3c	10,825$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.02	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x86c1…cacebacked Yes	6c	10,756$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb99f…5d71backed Yes	7c	10,500$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	36cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac1…45dbbacked Yes	11c	10,103$1,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,125	77	54.5%42 W · 35 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	5c	10,048$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.86	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	7c	10,000$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.89	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4487…1ec1backed Yes	3c	10,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	9,977$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.94	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	4c	9,934$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.11	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Yes	6c	9,671$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.44	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes	5c	9,645$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.41	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	12c	9,638$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,170.52	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf961…62bbbacked Yes	4c	9,635$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.12	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd76…22febacked Yes	3c	9,552$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes	4c	9,123$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.45	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+104.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942b…e25ebacked Yes	5c	8,670$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.7	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Yes	6c	8,437$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	59	40.7%24 W · 35 L	-5.8wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes	7c	8,234$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.11	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+81.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Yes	5c	7,867$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.06	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x59db…c353backed Yes	3c	7,823$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.77	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	7c	7,800$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.08	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bed…6497backed Yes	13c	7,498$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.15	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	13c	7,110$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$910.11	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes	3c	6,750$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.39	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+184.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3415…1cfebacked Yes	14c	6,184$885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Yes	3c	6,042$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.43	194	36.6%71 W · 123 L	-14.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6604…8dcfbacked Yes	4c	5,979$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	1c	5,903$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.81	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c5c…c842backed Yes	6c	5,770$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.24	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	3c	5,753$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.25	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	9c	5,700$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.56	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…e452backed Yes	3c	5,674$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.95	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	5c	5,517$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.53	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cbb…c0d4backed Yes	3c	5,361$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.95	35	40%14 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22db…190fbacked Yes	5c	5,300$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.57	79	39.2%31 W · 48 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes	10c	5,149$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x107f…9876backed Yes	10c	5,050$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes	7c	5,050$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.59	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes	4c	5,038$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.53	186	29.6%55 W · 131 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe577…f024backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes	3c	5,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	243	51.4%125 W · 118 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ef3…c555backed Yes	3c	5,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c47…c146backed Yes	4c	4,924$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes	7c	4,860$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.82	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5090…52d3backed Yes	13c	4,619$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.55	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	7c	4,204$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.93	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes	3c	4,190$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-6.5wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	4,113$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.94	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes	10c	4,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Yes	13c	4,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.17per pick	33cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yes	7c	3,989$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.14	112	37.5%42 W · 70 L	-10.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f0c…862abacked Yes	3c	3,957$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes	3c	3,937$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.95	24	0%0 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d59…2589backed Yes	9c	3,910$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.82	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event