NFL · resolved market
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bf53bab21d7dfcd8f6c311c6f78d41678475e9184b6f16f5bbd5a9da3b1508b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,968,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,771,516
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,968,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 333 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,492,252$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.56 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…51aabacked Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 810,718$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.14 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 0c | 358,932$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 1c | 160,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 145,164$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.76 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…cddfbacked Yes | 0c | 116,639$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 0c | 104,195$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.02 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf9…0d5dbacked Yes | 0c | 92,690$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…2008backed Yes | 0c | 92,000$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 70,112$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 66,200$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.6 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 55,420$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.8 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…9cedbacked Yes | 2c | 52,208$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.17 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…1047backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 2c | 38,941$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.71 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…f558backed Yes | 3c | 36,764$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 35,923$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.29 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 32,424$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.27 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17dc…ec55backed Yes | 5c | 32,221$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 1c | 26,210$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.38 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…0468backed Yes | 2c | 26,052$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.67 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…95a3backed Yes | 3c | 22,749$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.72 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +98%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69e…c04ebacked Yes | 0c | 21,410$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 2c | 21,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.5 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7b…f474backed Yes | 1c | 20,963$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.71 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Yes | 1c | 20,699$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a9…7f37backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 4c | 16,872$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.61 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…d74cbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,852$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…7f27backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 2c | 13,491$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.01 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…4d2fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Yes | 2c | 11,957$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.13 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 10,930$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…e63dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ed…ddadbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6e…8d46backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…dad8backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aad…18f4backed Yes | 4c | 10,000$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.92 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 3c | 9,951$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.53 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 3c | 9,218$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.46 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Yes | 4c | 8,565$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,266$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.95 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93eb…93cbbacked Yes | 4c | 7,851$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 3c | 7,218$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 4c | 7,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc410…f056backed Yes | 0c | 6,897$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…30f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,833$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 6,568$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.79 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…9524backed Yes | 0c | 6,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,213$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…50cfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…483abacked Yes | 3c | 5,974$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…984ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,972$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…759fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,967$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Yes | 3c | 5,804$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.79 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…5208backed Yes | 0c | 5,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…0d88backed Yes | 5c | 5,552$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,436$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 4c | 5,289$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.01 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 1c | 5,133$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 4c | 5,062$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.65 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…12b4backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…418abacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed Yes | 4c | 4,577$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…05e9backed Yes | 3c | 4,500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 2c | 4,348$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…1936backed Yes | 3c | 3,846$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 3c | 3,795$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 2c | 3,776$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…f2cbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,741$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 5c | 3,707$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 4c | 3,587$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 5c | 3,506$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…4557backed Yes | 3c | 3,458$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…2c27backed Yes | 5c | 3,282$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 3,017$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8469…f3aebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 2c | 2,987$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…f098backed Yes | 1c | 2,635$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…81cabacked Yes | 4c | 2,600$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,563$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62fa…ad7abacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427e…c418backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…b343backed Yes | 4c | 2,380$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +577.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,370$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.