NFL · resolved market

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39d45b454dcf932767962ad9cbd858c5a6ec21d4d48318a484775b2e83264467

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 17, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,163,891
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,140,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,163,891 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe78f…73d8backed Yes	16c	420,790$67,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,533.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c0f…7b84backed Yes	13c	402,897$53,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53,649.8	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes	12c	224,697$26,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,536.78	68	41.2%28 W · 40 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+20%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	12c	187,309$22,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,826.13	184	35.9%66 W · 118 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d76…eb01backed Yes	15c	167,660$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes	11c	143,867$15,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,325.34	162	26.5%43 W · 119 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdf98…0554backed Yes	8c	82,811$6,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,952.99	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	11c	70,711$7,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,633.96	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d18…4972backed Yes	8c	70,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-43%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Yes	15c	67,172$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	186	50%93 W · 93 L	+9.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…5d99backed Yes	12c	65,157$7,557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,557.32	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-51%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	15c	64,591$9,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,879.18	477	38.6%184 W · 293 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes	16c	63,030$10,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,263.97	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…27bbbacked Yes	13c	53,281$6,719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,719.13	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes	14c	52,072$7,310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,309.82	831	47.8%397 W · 434 L	+13.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	7c	51,649$3,615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,615.41	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.6wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-36%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	12c	50,534$5,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,960.91	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x980e…7e06backed Yes	10c	50,111$4,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,929.37	45	4.4%2 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+74%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Yes	10c	50,000$5,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,081.85	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	29cpaid	-72.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Yes	9c	49,944$4,495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,495	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.4wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1842…16eabacked Yes	9c	44,444$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+139.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227e…e118backed Yes	10c	41,580$4,158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,158	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed Yes	9c	40,147$3,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,436.15	85	36.5%31 W · 54 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes	9c	40,099$3,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,600	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…5102backed Yes	15c	39,897$6,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,183.52	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8004…d447backed Yes	13c	38,517$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	7c	30,309$2,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,177.17	212	27.8%59 W · 153 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes	17c	30,152$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	76	61.8%47 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes	10c	30,000$3,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,118.6	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes	10c	28,992$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	32cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Yes	13c	28,078$3,669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,669.39	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3bffbacked Yes	17c	27,111$4,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,606.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c7…bb17backed Yes	19c	26,379$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe8…fc24backed Yes	9c	26,306$2,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,367.56	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	23cpaid	-52%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	11c	25,960$2,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,825.61	176	9.1%16 W · 160 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb511…dedfbacked Yes	17c	25,676$4,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,258.47	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Yes	12c	25,499$2,975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.86	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes	13c	24,664$3,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,217.84	196	45.4%89 W · 107 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed Yes	13c	24,362$3,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,157.5	128	27.3%35 W · 93 L	-5.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4947…4f22backed Yes	9c	24,311$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	3c	22,546$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720.6	284	36.3%103 W · 181 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Yes	12c	21,777$2,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,515.25	165	45.5%75 W · 90 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes	16c	20,859$3,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,337.42	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	12c	20,500$2,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,460	125	50.4%63 W · 62 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd998…fad9backed Yes	14c	20,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes	8c	19,106$1,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,436.5	50	32%16 W · 34 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	7c	18,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	57	24.6%14 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…2196backed Yes	12c	16,667$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.16per pick	35cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	18c	16,651$2,972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,972	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-63.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x858d…1047backed Yes	9c	16,565$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.93	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc023…5ae8backed Yes	9c	16,162$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed Yes	16c	15,960$2,554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,553.61	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09f7…a365backed Yes	14c	15,131$2,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,063.73	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+35.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes	8c	14,600$1,114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,113.99	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5fa…5b59backed Yes	12c	14,500$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc7f4…5e6bbacked Yes	16c	13,475$2,125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,125	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	13c	13,437$1,778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,777.94	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes	9c	12,823$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	167	37.7%63 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a13…4593backed Yes	11c	12,676$1,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,394.41	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ed…b0f4backed Yes	8c	12,500$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.97	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	34cpaid	+76.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x223a…7664backed Yes	11c	12,431$1,383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,382.82	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x654b…c791backed Yes	9c	12,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes	10c	12,000$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.98	80	35%28 W · 52 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48f…7fa0backed Yes	9c	11,933$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,073.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d6…3eeebacked Yes	17c	11,765$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	48cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	16c	11,700$1,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,914.4	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Yes	11c	11,592$1,275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.09	174	54.6%95 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bed…6497backed Yes	14c	11,458$1,598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,597.65	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…a48fbacked Yes	9c	11,180$1,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.73	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe571…0265backed Yes	9c	11,164$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fff…b34ebacked Yes	9c	11,105$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…a144backed Yes	11c	11,055$1,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.02	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	15c	10,427$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.04	43	11.6%5 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-65%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88e…a7d4backed Yes	11c	10,396$1,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,171.35	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Yes	12c	10,370$1,211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.08	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5f…39c7backed Yes	10c	10,203$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.36	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dad…5c37backed Yes	15c	10,096$1,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,480	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Yes	9c	10,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b5…b3cabacked Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6b…3ba7backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb21c…3aedbacked Yes	8c	9,984$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.74	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes	20c	9,943$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993.91	234	47.9%112 W · 122 L	-10.9wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes	12c	9,890$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.39	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfa…97efbacked Yes	17c	9,603$1,613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Yes	14c	9,569$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.36	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52fd…a8fdbacked Yes	15c	9,519$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6400…ed1abacked Yes	7c	9,481$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…adf9backed Yes	10c	9,400$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.17per pick	41cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	14c	9,314$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.28	139	35.3%49 W · 90 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae3…bc70backed Yes	12c	8,648$1,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,074.44	45	40%18 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x315f…5593backed Yes	9c	8,542$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.74	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4b74…b530backed Yes	9c	8,133$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$732	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f68…1a2dbacked Yes	12c	8,005$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	5	20%1 W · 4 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes	12c	7,923$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.47	86	22.1%19 W · 67 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes	11c	7,907$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.77	307	43.6%134 W · 173 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…d642backed Yes	13c	7,888$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,032.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes	9c	7,748$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.34	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	13c	7,729$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.95	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ad9…62bcbacked Yes	8c	7,687$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.92	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes	14c	7,663$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.37	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?this page
Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event