NFL · resolved market
Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6167c4ce9a850c0b5fa34f375a2d9cecfff94ce2c81c9f15ae962d40d0a1230b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,516,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,467,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,516,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,564,012$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,837.18 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 588,907$7,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,782.85 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 326,872$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.73 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 248,910$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.77 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 0c | 178,932$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.86 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 150,008$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.47 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 128,499$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.49 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 116,197$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.66 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed Yes | 1c | 103,000$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.12 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 101,107$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 86,867$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.73 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64b…d37cbacked Yes | 1c | 85,925$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 2c | 82,250$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.75 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x980e…7e06backed Yes | 1c | 82,207$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.77 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +74%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 79,909$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 1c | 74,799$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Yes | 1c | 72,838$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.57 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…1d0abacked Yes | 1c | 68,061$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +228.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 61,779$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.96 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…9e65backed Yes | 1c | 59,611$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.37 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 57,266$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.26 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 51,201$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.6 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…d65fbacked Yes | 1c | 49,190$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 47,962$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +208.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 40,690$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cce…8713backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 1c | 36,500$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 1c | 32,000$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 73 | 4.1%3 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fd…2c99backed Yes | 1c | 30,918$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…2008backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb014…b3fabacked Yes | 1c | 26,660$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.9 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +184.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 25,094$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…934dbacked Yes | 2c | 25,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…6318backed Yes | 1c | 22,727$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,146$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.46 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…7607backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbea…51bbbacked Yes | 1c | 20,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…393bbacked Yes | 1c | 18,182$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +792.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…162fbacked Yes | 1c | 18,069$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 1c | 17,949$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Yes | 1c | 17,120$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 15,939$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.88 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Yes | 1c | 14,112$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7471…a6dabacked Yes | 0c | 13,974$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 1c | 13,685$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 11,913$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…42a7backed Yes | 0c | 11,333$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 10,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbf…f580backed Yes | 1c | 10,055$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 29 | 3.4%1 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,001$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d2…034bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…e63dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…f76dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2b77backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…d7fbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29c…7270backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f86…6ca2backed Yes | 2c | 10,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752f…9332backed Yes | 1c | 9,487$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 1c | 8,740$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 132 | 17.4%23 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…f1d4backed Yes | 2c | 8,438$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 1c | 7,894$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…f1f9backed Yes | 1c | 7,804$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,522$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…cbf5backed Yes | 1c | 7,406$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…5de5backed Yes | 1c | 7,393$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799e…965bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,367$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b0…c3bdbacked Yes | 1c | 7,320$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…4e4cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 1c | 7,092$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…17c1backed Yes | 0c | 6,780$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 6,701$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 106 | 1.9%2 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…3546backed Yes | 0c | 6,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8f…888ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,367$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 1c | 6,207$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cb…7588backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fa…27c2backed Yes | 1c | 5,971$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d2…941fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,950$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…5ad9backed Yes | 1c | 5,857$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…e41fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,749$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2288…b937backed Yes | 0c | 5,633$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…6390backed Yes | 2c | 5,616$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.