NFL · resolved market
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580ffec1f7b057910f9f596c80d203870f3028b04784a982d158d3581514299e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,998,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,870,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,998,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,653,936$41,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,554.74 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…3a25backed Yes | 1c | 1,378,595$11,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,231.31 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c7f9backed Yes | 0c | 1,154,796$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,067,794$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,801.6 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…e5e7backed Yes | 0c | 970,296$2,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.59 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 0c | 908,359$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.72 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 827,604$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.59 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 772,975$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 1c | 412,807$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.95 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Yes | 0c | 375,333$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Yes | 0c | 352,481$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…a002backed Yes | 0c | 350,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 346,968$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.81 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 1c | 264,000$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 245,647$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.53 | 212 | 27.8%59 W · 153 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc474…d697backed Yes | 1c | 237,386$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.33 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…42dcbacked Yes | 1c | 210,744$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.61 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Yes | 0c | 187,515$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.03 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 0c | 170,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked Yes | 0c | 170,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…75c0backed Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Yes | 1c | 145,000$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 130,100$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 127,101$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.13 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +170.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 126,510$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.57 | 162 | 26.5%43 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…80d0backed Yes | 1c | 113,333$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…11c2backed Yes | 1c | 113,159$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa86c…6ec8backed Yes | 1c | 111,131$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.2 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d5…6240backed Yes | 0c | 110,488$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.44 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…b21bbacked Yes | 0c | 109,991$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…ba77backed Yes | 0c | 105,000$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a13…4593backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdde…c019backed Yes | 1c | 100,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8298…b978backed Yes | 0c | 97,000$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…9af9backed Yes | 0c | 95,231$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.2 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…d699backed Yes | 0c | 95,139$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.78 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 0c | 94,434$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.47 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Yes | 1c | 86,666$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…43dcbacked Yes | 0c | 86,585$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.86 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 0c | 84,337$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…08b6backed Yes | 0c | 84,205$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.02 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked Yes | 1c | 83,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5488…4a9ebacked Yes | 0c | 82,902$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.71 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9809…108fbacked Yes | 0c | 81,643$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.01 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 1c | 80,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76d…2c25backed Yes | 0c | 79,889$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.53 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed Yes | 0c | 78,069$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.71 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…3acbbacked Yes | 0c | 75,166$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…3681backed Yes | 0c | 73,216$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.86 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…6c95backed Yes | 0c | 73,206$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 1c | 71,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c1…54b0backed Yes | 1c | 71,414$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 1c | 70,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 0c | 66,840$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…f118backed Yes | 1c | 66,776$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd4…5830backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…1981backed Yes | 0c | 66,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebd…a8ecbacked Yes | 1c | 65,341$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7d…3e9cbacked Yes | 1c | 65,000$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…034abacked Yes | 0c | 64,299$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6f…73a8backed Yes | 1c | 63,470$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…f832backed Yes | 1c | 62,943$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2b…7b3fbacked Yes | 1c | 62,729$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…6a38backed Yes | 1c | 62,700$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a27…1a24backed Yes | 1c | 62,571$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…c72dbacked Yes | 1c | 62,149$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.84 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…b308backed Yes | 0c | 61,712$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a5…6112backed Yes | 0c | 61,287$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8182…3732backed Yes | 0c | 60,034$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.21 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f49…7ce8backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…2a24backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…40e1backed Yes | 0c | 58,891$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…6e84backed Yes | 1c | 55,462$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cda…351abacked Yes | 1c | 55,265$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…82d7backed Yes | 1c | 53,429$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed Yes | 0c | 52,208$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…1bdabacked Yes | 1c | 51,143$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 50,203$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.62 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6565…2c02backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b4…ec9cbacked Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…d770backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 1c | 48,500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.5 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed9…fe4fbacked Yes | 1c | 46,938$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Yes | 0c | 45,343$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.03 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…3f41backed Yes | 1c | 42,429$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c2…aababacked Yes | 1c | 42,143$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7043…1425backed Yes | 0c | 41,344$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cb…119bbacked Yes | 1c | 41,286$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0b…d1c9backed Yes | 1c | 40,407$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…4820backed Yes | 1c | 40,143$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…0f9ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…622ebacked Yes | 1c | 40,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…0e22backed Yes | 1c | 34,522$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026?this page
- Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?Yes won
- Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026?No won
- Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.