TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ec6…cd1f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$285.51
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$124.99
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$322.49
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$160.22
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+400%+$399.99
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+26.6%+$50.51
Will Jalen Hurts be the Top Fantasy Quarterback of the 2025-26 NFL Regular Season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+54.1%+$18.35
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$211.36
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$501.35
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+185.7%+$325
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+164.2%+$217.5
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$375
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$211
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+85.6%+$207.5
Bills vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$62.5
Raiders vs. Chargersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Falcons vs. Jetsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$137.5
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$82.19
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$192.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fartcoin hit $0.7 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$200
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.1%+$341.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.69
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+138.1%+$59.57
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$137.5
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+108.3%+$71.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,154Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+34.5%+$398.4
Will Cade Horton win the National League Rookie of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$661Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$660.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$8,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,113.95
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,035
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.1%+$468.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$165
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.