NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Jets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca2c3633c85a89015385adb51e3d22312649c27bd1cbd61b21f5bd004540f16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Falcons, Jets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,137,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,289,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,137,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jets | 79c | 71,443$56,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,203.66 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Jets | 22c | 68,740$15,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,410.89 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Jets | 43c | 64,000$27,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,609.88 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Jets | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 41c | 48,906$19,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,987.5 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Jets | 40c | 45,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Falcons | 58c | 44,475$25,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,795.26 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Jets | 42c | 40,000$16,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,100.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Falcons | 61c | 35,000$21,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,349.94 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Jets | 42c | 32,198$13,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,674.78 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Jets | 39c | 28,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,080 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Falcons | 60c | 22,424$13,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,454.3 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jets | 60c | 22,355$13,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,861.71 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Falcons | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,400 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Falcons | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Falcons | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Falcons | 59c | 19,149$11,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,297.76 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Jets | 39c | 18,955$7,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,651.28 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Jets | 41c | 16,579$6,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,769.9 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Falcons | 57c | 16,148$9,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Falcons | 61c | 15,000$9,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,075 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Jets | 41c | 13,035$5,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,690.4 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Falcons | 62c | 12,742$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900.11 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Falcons | 60c | 12,710$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Falcons | 72c | 10,533$7,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,571.71 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Falcons | 60c | 9,969$5,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.77 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jets | 33c | 9,734$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,518.06 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Jets | 44c | 8,888$3,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.34 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Falcons | 1c | 8,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +931.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons | 76c | 7,948$6,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,022.98 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Falcons | 56c | 7,758$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.44 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…f1eabacked Falcons | 62c | 7,200$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,464 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Jets | 41c | 7,101$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.18 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Falcons | 38c | 7,099$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.46 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Jets | 48c | 6,770$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.86 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Jets | 59c | 6,763$4,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,752.65 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Falcons | 52c | 6,580$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,452.13 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Falcons | 59c | 5,858$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,456.5 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Jets | 41c | 5,756$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Jets | 12c | 5,600$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,928 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Falcons | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e22…3993backed Jets | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Jets | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.99 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Jets | 40c | 4,981$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,988.6 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Jets | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 61c | 4,792$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.39 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Jets | 55c | 4,678$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Jets | 67c | 4,340$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Jets | 63c | 4,338$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Falcons | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Jets | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,239.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons | 62c | 3,872$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.64 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Falcons | 59c | 3,834$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.61 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Jets | 40c | 3,601$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Falcons | 59c | 3,468$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.21 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Falcons | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Falcons | 62c | 3,262$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.44 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Jets | 26c | 3,126$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.31 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Jets | 28c | 3,122$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Jets | 42c | 2,848$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.88 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Falcons | 60c | 2,845$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Jets | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.1 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Jets | 40c | 2,517$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Jets | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Falcons | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Falcons | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.99 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Falcons | 60c | 2,400$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets | 35c | 2,363$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.83 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Falcons | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…6909backed Falcons | 37c | 2,168$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Jets | 38c | 2,130$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Falcons | 62c | 2,109$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.78 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Jets | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Falcons | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Jets | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Falcons | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Jets | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.98 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Falcons | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Falcons | 14c | 1,880$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.5 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets | 43c | 1,849$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.13 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Falcons | 45c | 1,826$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Jets | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.87 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Jets | 38c | 1,779$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.96 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…607ebacked Falcons | 62c | 1,774$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Falcons | 23c | 1,767$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.16 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…da1fbacked Jets | 39c | 1,718$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Falcons | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…8971backed Jets | 37c | 1,580$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Jets | 39c | 1,546$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.75 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Falcons | 65c | 1,542$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Falcons | 55c | 1,519$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.7 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Falcons | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…673fbacked Jets | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Jets | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.97 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons | 47c | 1,493$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.15 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Falcons | 26c | 1,441$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.15 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…5499backed Jets | 39c | 1,400$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Falcons | 43c | 1,383$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…c350backed Jets | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Jetsthis page
- Falcons vs. Jets: O/U 38.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Jets: O/U 39.5Over won
- Mason Taylor: Anytime TouchdownNo won
- Spread: Falcons (-2.5)Jets won
- Spread: Falcons (-3.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.