NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x069f3f1f10146e78f853d8a811793c0cb323d95da6d1af4131de3812a778f1cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,038,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,156,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,038,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Canadiens | 55c | 713,602$391,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391,296.79 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Stars | 48c | 519,949$249,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270,221.52 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Stars | 46c | 300,987$138,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162,087.89 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Canadiens | 52c | 300,000$154,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,946.11 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…6336backed Canadiens | 54c | 228,057$123,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,020.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Stars | 48c | 208,333$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108,333.33 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Stars | 48c | 200,000$95,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,206.35 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Stars | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.96 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Stars | 44c | 93,235$41,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,211.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 48c | 91,584$43,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,675.04 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…7ebbbacked Canadiens | 55c | 79,015$43,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,317.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Canadiens | 53c | 75,000$39,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,499.96 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Stars | 48c | 74,046$35,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,503.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Stars | 48c | 57,176$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,576.03 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 46c | 56,760$26,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,546.46 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Canadiens | 51c | 48,143$24,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,473.31 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 45c | 46,592$21,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,591.8 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 48c | 46,270$22,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,041.19 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 46,198$24,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,583.26 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Stars | 47c | 35,509$16,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,820.01 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Stars | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800.04 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Canadiens | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Canadiens | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Canadiens | 53c | 30,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Canadiens | 52c | 25,423$13,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,341.63 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Stars | 46c | 24,000$11,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,959.92 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 46c | 22,973$10,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,446.87 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…8beebacked Canadiens | 52c | 20,765$10,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,879.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 46c | 20,256$9,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,838.57 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Canadiens | 53c | 20,000$10,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,549.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Stars | 47c | 18,299$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.44 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Canadiens | 52c | 17,914$9,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,311.4 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Stars | 47c | 16,302$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,624.39 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Canadiens | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Canadiens | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…5e10backed Canadiens | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Stars | 55c | 14,884$8,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,769.72 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 50c | 12,187$6,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.61 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Canadiens | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,830 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 47c | 10,195$4,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Stars | 49c | 10,100$4,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Canadiens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stars | 47c | 9,660$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,114.01 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Canadiens | 53c | 9,435$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…cb38backed Canadiens | 53c | 9,347$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Canadiens | 50c | 8,995$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.5 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Stars | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 67c | 8,167$5,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,703.5 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,000$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Stars | 46c | 8,000$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,302.46 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Canadiens | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…99a7backed Canadiens | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.91 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Canadiens | 54c | 7,136$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,853.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…4841backed Canadiens | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d8…cc68backed Canadiens | 51c | 6,975$3,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,557 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd5…85f4backed Stars | 49c | 6,972$3,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,555.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Stars | 48c | 6,385$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.2 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb9…74bfbacked Canadiens | 55c | 6,376$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…bd6dbacked Stars | 47c | 6,130$2,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…950bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 6,100$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Stars | 45c | 6,000$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,289.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…e068backed Stars | 48c | 5,745$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,697$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Stars | 49c | 5,561$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Stars | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.15 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Stars | 48c | 5,500$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.15 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Stars | 47c | 5,106$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.18 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Stars | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Canadiens | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 4c | 4,940$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.69 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,900$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…55cebacked Stars | 47c | 4,900$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Canadiens | 54c | 4,853$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Canadiens | 1c | 4,841$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Canadiens | 5c | 4,511$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…f4f1backed Canadiens | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,436$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.76 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Canadiens | 53c | 4,379$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.4 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Canadiens | 54c | 4,259$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Stars | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Canadiens | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 45c | 3,900$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stars | 51c | 3,896$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.07 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Stars | 49c | 3,888$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.87 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 45c | 3,791$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.5 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Canadiens | 53c | 3,775$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Canadiens | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 47c | 3,616$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.51 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,585$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Stars | 47c | 3,557$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.45 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 52c | 3,461$1,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.55 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Canadiens | 28c | 3,347$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.88 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 3,302$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b4…0922backed Stars | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Canadiens | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Stars | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4b…9c21backed Canadiens | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a08…77e3backed Canadiens | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Canadiensthis page
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Stars won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.