NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c7aa98e70bd109e54b65190032f83aee73c09ca7907f4584da705c571f32340
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Penguins, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,620,741
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,868,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,620,741 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Penguins | 55c | 770,475$421,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421,558.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Predators | 46c | 300,000$138,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161,999.96 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 45c | 259,137$117,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141,444.83 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Predators | 46c | 228,221$105,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,064.55 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Predators | 45c | 133,677$60,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,522.45 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Predators | 45c | 127,614$57,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,784.39 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 44c | 125,757$55,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,994.45 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Penguins | 54c | 103,520$55,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,836.09 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…d50dbacked Penguins | 0c | 101,370$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3b…8dcfbacked Penguins | 54c | 92,141$49,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,756.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Predators | 45c | 49,760$22,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,357.25 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 46c | 44,200$20,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,027.72 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 54c | 44,194$24,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,073.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Predators | 44c | 43,087$19,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,041.03 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators | 46c | 36,085$16,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,486.01 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d9…a3e9backed Penguins | 55c | 30,289$16,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,659.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Penguins | 64c | 28,282$18,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,070.5 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed Predators | 45c | 26,710$12,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,690.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 42c | 26,684$11,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,588.21 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Predators | 44c | 26,494$11,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,868.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Predators | 36c | 24,117$8,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,393.52 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Predators | 44c | 22,222$9,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.32 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Penguins | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Predators | 46c | 21,700$9,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,718 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Penguins | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…f03fbacked Penguins | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Penguins | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Penguins | 62c | 17,111$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,690.9 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Penguins | 55c | 16,706$9,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,135.65 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Penguins | 55c | 15,532$8,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,547.74 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Penguins | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,100 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Predators | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.93 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Penguins | 46c | 13,059$5,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.07 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 45c | 11,884$5,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.93 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Predators | 45c | 11,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Penguins | 55c | 10,873$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Penguins | 55c | 10,372$5,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Penguins | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Predators | 42c | 9,857$4,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,698.82 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Predators | 46c | 9,738$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.43 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Penguins | 55c | 9,502$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.18 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f22…b7f5backed Predators | 46c | 9,259$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,999.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…94ccbacked Penguins | 55c | 9,200$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…ef8bbacked Predators | 45c | 9,150$4,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Penguins | 55c | 9,025$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.23 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Penguins | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f94…98b8backed Predators | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…e4c8backed Penguins | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 47c | 8,995$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,767.12 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40c8…ac92backed Predators | 45c | 8,900$4,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dc…ea02backed Penguins | 55c | 8,850$4,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Penguins | 79c | 8,329$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Penguins | 58c | 8,231$4,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800.97 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Penguins | 54c | 7,705$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.7 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e77…4505backed Penguins | 53c | 7,704$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Predators | 46c | 7,549$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.46 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Penguins | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Penguins | 55c | 7,433$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Penguins | 55c | 7,320$4,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Penguins | 55c | 7,300$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Penguins | 55c | 7,273$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Predators | 45c | 7,108$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,880.23 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Predators | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0299backed Penguins | 56c | 6,774$3,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,781.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Penguins | 58c | 6,758$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Penguins | 78c | 6,046$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.42 | 185 | 20.5%38 W · 147 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Predators | 44c | 6,000$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.92 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Penguins | 55c | 5,627$3,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,085 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 54cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Predators | 45c | 5,499$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.38 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 46c | 5,321$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Predators | 46c | 5,287$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,854.96 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Predators | 42c | 5,166$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.01 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Predators | 50c | 5,160$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.29 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Penguins | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Penguins | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Predators | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Predators | 45c | 4,561$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.45 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Penguins | 78c | 4,400$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Penguins | 54c | 4,354$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.16 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Predators | 46c | 4,250$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.14 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Penguins | 53c | 4,218$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.18 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Predators | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.67 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Predators | 46c | 4,005$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.65 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Penguins | 65c | 3,964$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.61 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 45c | 3,860$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.53 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Penguins | 55c | 3,835$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Penguins | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…df60backed Penguins | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Penguins | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -7.8wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Predators | 31c | 3,591$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Penguins | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Predators | 46c | 3,394$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.73 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Penguins | 57c | 3,278$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.75 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Penguins | 57c | 3,100$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Penguins | 1c | 3,091$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Predators | 45c | 3,091$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.02 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Predators | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked Predators | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Predators | 46c | 3,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…5c0abacked Penguins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penguins vs. Predatorsthis page
- Penguins vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.