TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Falcons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Rams, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,889,343
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,682,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,889,343 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Falcons24c637,689$153,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484,643.7611145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Falcons24c357,011$85,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271,328.0817454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x58ff…73a4backed Rams76c327,475$248,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248,881450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Falcons50c250,583$125,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,276.38747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Rams45c178,193$79,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,974.991936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Falcons24c146,600$35,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,416.1911544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Rams35c133,685$47,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,262.66459.4%38 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Rams76c131,556$99,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99,982.733767.6%25 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e8f…52f4backed Falcons37c82,072$30,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,352.06650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Falcons24c80,000$19,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,8003850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rams43c75,908$32,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,907.1586547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Falcons77c75,000$57,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,121.573366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Rams75c65,570$49,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,177.751030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons69c65,045$45,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,940.730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons61c61,572$37,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,929.5873651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Rams29c48,406$14,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,148.7423244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x959a…7b64backed Rams39c42,930$16,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,548.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Rams75c41,500$31,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,178.227454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Falcons25c40,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Rams18c39,936$7,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,109.8433328.5%95 W · 238 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Rams76c39,566$30,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,070.1619152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Rams18c38,820$6,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,979.1212748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Falcons25c37,264$9,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,796.825536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc3e…37efbacked Rams30c35,613$10,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,572.297736.4%28 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams39c33,253$12,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,948.7383147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Rams76c32,639$24,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,947.5214951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Rams44c31,189$13,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,700.4718650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons25c30,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Falcons25c30,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,50013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked Falcons24c30,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,8004360.5%26 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+42.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Falcons25c30,000$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,5003548.6%17 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Falcons62c29,566$18,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,241.3317647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Falcons70c28,353$19,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,579.2216955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rams28c28,061$7,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,768.3131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Rams76c23,408$17,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,790.0550%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams77c19,461$14,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,927.071,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Rams76c18,182$13,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,818.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-5.3wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-38.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Rams76c17,174$13,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,052.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Rams41c17,079$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,98011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Rams27c16,362$4,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,412.8222434.4%77 W · 147 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked Falcons70c16,304$11,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,911.81573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed Rams16c15,751$2,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,441.918128.4%23 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed Falcons23c15,687$3,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,022.432544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf00b…517cbacked Rams16c15,666$2,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Falcons25c14,620$3,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9651428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Rams35c14,507$5,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.142626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Rams33c14,415$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.6211643.1%50 W · 66 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5677…2ce9backed Rams36c13,276$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,823.611866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams17c13,000$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2838…fdd3backed Rams44c12,706$5,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,590.552544%11 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Rams29c12,583$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.925038%19 W · 31 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Rams23c12,309$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8252638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Rams0c11,610$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.77714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-81%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Falcons22c11,482$2,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,969.6853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Rams57c11,420$6,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,511.4313435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Rams78c11,371$8,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,898.845442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Rams38c11,298$4,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,239.813655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Falcons59c10,745$6,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,361.7550242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Falcons24c10,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,6009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Falcons22c9,999$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,779.19616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Rams39c9,877$3,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,830.193333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Falcons55c9,628$5,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.542450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af7…4983backed Rams43c9,587$4,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,142.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Rams20c9,411$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.7147738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29e…a2cabacked Rams76c9,106$6,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,920.892161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Falcons25c8,618$2,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,463.651844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rams16c8,163$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.1720026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Falcons35c7,820$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,090.893560%21 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Falcons22c7,500$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,81426650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Falcons67c7,493$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Rams80c7,406$5,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,924.47259.7%43 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Falcons60c7,405$4,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.127733.8%26 W · 51 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Rams12c7,269$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.016841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Rams35c7,252$2,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.72733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons58c7,074$4,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.4875852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Rams69c6,917$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8004240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Rams70c6,687$4,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,676.748351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Rams18c6,574$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.13333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Falcons74c6,569$4,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.086645.5%30 W · 36 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Falcons22c6,545$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,099.9647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Rams76c6,500$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,94030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rams56c6,318$3,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,508.941866.7%12 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Falcons24c6,281$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,773.7439447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Rams56c6,166$3,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,474.534266.7%28 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2bb9…3defbacked Rams57c6,153$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5252147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Rams19c5,910$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.435459.3%32 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b09…4e29backed Rams17c5,900$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Rams77c5,791$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.2731854.7%174 W · 144 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Rams18c5,744$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.678737.9%33 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rams35c5,444$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,921.0731056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Rams41c5,204$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.915356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ce…d06dbacked Falcons75c5,196$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.22030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Falcons23c5,195$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0006764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Rams49c5,080$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83a…6bfcbacked Rams28c5,022$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.81546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+34%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Rams17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85023937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rams75c5,000$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7501,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Rams40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8366…21ebbacked Falcons36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f6…48f3backed Rams79c4,908$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9004146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.