NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16711aa1f92051a7ef9434c3286f7229f4dc1cfe90b4984a06a074197951dfb3

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $95,955
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $97,295

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,955 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe76f…1eacbacked Over	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,408.16	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	51c	20,066$10,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,230.36	758	52.5%398 W · 360 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under	53c	18,889$10,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,011.23	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	47c	17,892$8,427 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,464.74	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	53c	17,793$9,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,402.49	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4106…ddcdbacked Under	51c	10,100$5,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,151	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed75…536ebacked Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over	47c	9,504$4,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,037.12	106	50.9%54 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	48c	7,979$3,802 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,176.66	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Over	47c	6,360$2,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,370.8	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-8.1wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Under	53c	6,300$3,339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,339	362	46.7%169 W · 193 L	-7.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	6,127$2,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,251.08	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Under	52c	2,500$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,307.35	155	55.5%86 W · 69 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over	47c	2,100$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113	284	47.5%135 W · 149 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.99	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Under	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under	52c	1,900$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988	224	46.4%104 W · 120 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	53c	1,322$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.66	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1abf…6024backed Over	53c	1,132$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.08	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Under	54c	1,111$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	50c	1,100$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	137	52.6%72 W · 65 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	50c	1,100$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under	51c	1,026$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.45	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Over	49c	1,012$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.33	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Under	53c	817.79$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.43	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under	54c	632.28$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over	48c	508.33$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.33	221	42.1%93 W · 128 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Over	50c	430$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Over	48c	418.75$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.75	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	48c	405$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210.6	66	63.6%42 W · 24 L	+9.7wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+15.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	52c	299.99$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.81	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over	47c	250$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Over	49c	202.02$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+5.5wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Under	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	163	51.5%84 W · 79 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe727…5e8dbacked Under	53c	187.04$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	175	48%84 W · 91 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Over	48c	166.67$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.67	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	47c	165.9$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.15	346	52.9%183 W · 163 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed Under	51c	150$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.22per pick	51cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Over	47c	130$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.9	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Under	52c	115.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	25	44%11 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under	53c	113.21$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd25…8098backed Under	51c	107$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over	46c	106.75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	736	51.2%377 W · 359 L	+25.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over	52c	105.77$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over	48c	104.31$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.24	90	52.2%47 W · 43 L	+4.4wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Under	52c	96.15$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	220	53.2%117 W · 103 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db3…77ccbacked Over	48c	80.96$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.13	130	24.6%32 W · 98 L	-8.4wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x522b…5160backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under	52c	76.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	110	54.5%60 W · 50 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	76$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.28	314	50%157 W · 157 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Under	53c	64.87$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.38	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f9…629abacked Under	53c	57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under	53c	57$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.21	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc6…97b7backed Over	48c	56.25$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.25	8	50%4 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cee…0ad1backed Over	48c	56.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.24	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87aa…5d58backed Over	50c	56$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+100%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	133	39.8%53 W · 80 L	-10.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Over	48c	52.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.08	123	33.3%41 W · 82 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…5c68backed Over	50c	51$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	46cpaid	+73.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b1…799abacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over	51c	49.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under	49c	47.95$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	47c	42.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.59	209	44.5%93 W · 116 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	188	43.1%81 W · 107 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed Over	48c	41.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.45	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…6d82backed Over	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	43	69.8%30 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	124	59.7%74 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Over	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	47	34%16 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe43b…f955backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4794…d6e5backed Over	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f2a…700fbacked Over	48c	35.42$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Over	52c	35.02$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.81	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2744…1da5backed Under	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Under	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ee…d4e3backed Under	70c	28.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf012…6d13backed Over	47c	22$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Under	53c	22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.66	36	47.2%17 W · 19 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5this page
1H Spread: Rams (-3.5)Falcons won
1H Spread: Rams (-4.5)Falcons won
Falcons Team Total: O/U 20.5Over won
Rams vs. FalconsFalcons won
Rams vs. Falcons: 1H MoneylineFalcons won
Rams vs. Falcons: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Over won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 46.5Over won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 47.5Over won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5Over won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 50.5Over won
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 51.5Under won
Spread: Falcons (-10.5)Rams won
Spread: Rams (-2.5)Falcons won
Spread: Rams (-3.5)Falcons won
Spread: Rams (-7.5)Falcons won
Spread: Rams (-8.5)Falcons won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event