TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Rams, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,578,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,607,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,578,159 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 379 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Rams47c1,066,062$502,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,013.0486547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons53c480,338$254,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,758.6930043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Falcons53c446,000$235,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210,003.6727454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33f6…e0debacked Rams47c400,000$188,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,999.981030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-41.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Falcons53c290,000$152,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137,199.993850%19 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca8…bf49backed Rams48c197,647$94,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,878.91936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Falcons53c190,749$101,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,651.923050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Falcons53c152,240$80,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,587.332441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e25…0af8backed Falcons52c113,395$58,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54,429.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Falcons52c91,940$47,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,131.1911145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Rams47c81,959$38,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,501.219359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Falcons53c80,000$42,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,60016051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Falcons53c55,559$29,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,112.8917454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Rams47c50,673$23,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,815.954250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Falcons52c49,000$25,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,419.854440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Falcons53c39,176$20,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,372.278164.2%52 W · 29 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+137.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Rams48c31,848$15,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,28718650%93 W · 93 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Falcons53c26,362$13,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,389.9916860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Rams47c24,985$11,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,743.0422450%112 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Rams47c21,100$9,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,91710650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Rams47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,40024056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Falcons53c20,000$10,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,4002657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rams47c19,411$9,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,108.5475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Falcons52c10,392$5,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.4426650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Falcons53c10,240$5,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,812.82638.5%10 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Falcons53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,70035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Rams47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,70013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Rams47c9,784$4,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,598.611266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons53c9,000$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,23026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Rams47c8,180$3,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Rams50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Falcons53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,759.9951352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Falcons53c7,885$4,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.1554451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rams47c6,248$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.5647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Falcons53c6,038$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.7410648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Rams11c5,600$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.928345.8%38 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Rams47c5,250$2,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,467.54240.5%17 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Falcons53c4,985$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.88333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rams47c4,940$2,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.828447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Falcons53c4,539$2,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Falcons53c4,500$2,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,11525744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68db…e12bbacked Rams18c4,453$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.6713435.8%48 W · 86 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Falcons52c4,238$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.871,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Rams48c4,167$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Falcons53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8801566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d81…e643backed Falcons52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+260.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Rams47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64515252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Rams48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60016648.2%80 W · 86 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Rams47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41015446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Rams47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4107534.7%26 W · 49 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rams47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41039447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Falcons52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.988551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Falcons53c2,719$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.9353348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Falcons54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15014438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rams47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17526648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Rams47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17526649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Falcons53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0344348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe1a…8bedbacked Rams48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Falcons53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.017152.1%37 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Rams47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2511…98f4backed Rams48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee7e…b1e0backed Falcons52c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.993145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rams47c1,935$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.9865048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rams47c1,614$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.5853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Rams48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75012550.4%63 W · 62 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1953…f310backed Rams48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Falcons79c1,486$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.464944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Falcons51c1,325$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.4856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Falcons53c1,258$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8610547.6%50 W · 55 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe21a…88edbacked Rams48c1,246$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.153151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Rams53c1,234$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6601833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14cf…0856backed Rams48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd17…8564backed Rams48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Falcons59c1,024$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.983953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Rams49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0c1…0afebacked Rams50c1,010$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rams48c1,001$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4819855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Rams48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4806651.5%34 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Rams50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003429.4%10 W · 24 L-7.7wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x68bf…3e67backed Falcons53c999.12$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.592250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Falcons53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.47361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Rams48c937.5$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503056.7%17 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rams48c935.58$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.2520354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Falcons54c932.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.914951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Falcons65c905.82$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.0419651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Falcons65c905.8$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.034261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Falcons53c850$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.037533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Rams48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rams47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37613959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Falcons58c769.85$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.8510548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Falcons54c743.52$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.525046%23 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x069c…3d49backed Rams48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Rams48c693$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6477052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Rams48c677.36$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.132343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c44…6ecebacked Rams47c673.04$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3193348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Falcons46c636.75$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.856346%29 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Rams48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003030%9 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3475…eea8backed Rams48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009948.5%48 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb0…ae76backed Rams48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Rams47c599.99$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28215555.5%86 W · 69 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.