TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Falcons: 1H O/U 24.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,598 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under54c3,333$1,800 inWon+$1,533.188747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Over46c3,128$1,439 inLost-$1,438.8810650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c922.29$480 inWon+$442.715252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under52c618.96$322 inWon+$297.139754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over48c599.99$288 inLost-$2887533.3%25 W · 50 L-8.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over47c408.33$192 inLost-$19222142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over48c400$192 inLost-$19214151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7551…b6b1backed Over48c208.33$100 inLost-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-63%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under53c100$53 inWon+$472347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over32c86.76$28 inLost-$27.7675852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f9…e09dbacked Under68c86.76$59 inWon+$27.763030%9 W · 21 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under49c81.92$40 inWon+$41.715446.8%72 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under53c79$42 inWon+$37.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a9…0d53backed Under53c75$40 inWon+$35.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6e…b029backed Over48c74.5$36 inLost-$35.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Under53c72$38 inWon+$33.841747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf9…142bbacked Over47c54$25 inLost-$25.381163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over52c50$26 inLost-$268733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over45c48.29$22 inLost-$21.7311146.8%52 W · 59 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07d8…3667backed Under55c48.29$27 inWon+$21.73757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2587…a117backed Under53c43$23 inWon+$20.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over47c30$14 inLost-$14.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over49c25$12 inLost-$12.2534247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Over47c24$11 inLost-$11.28850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c20.89$10 inLost-$10.0320944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.