TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 48.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$347,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$353,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,180 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xabb8…bba3backed Under51c295,389$149,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,475.618747.1%41 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over50c235,043$117,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117,342.8186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c15,325$6,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,433.9583147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c13,856$6,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.481,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c12,908$6,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.1351352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Under48c10,995$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.5816051.9%83 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over45c10,948$4,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,021.4716955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c6,929$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.2177052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9924957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Under31c3,734$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,147.49333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Over45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.332454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3804261.9%26 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c2,908$1,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.1354451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.9815252.6%80 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over43c2,392$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.2250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Under49c2,381$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.6910650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over50c1,993$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9765048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over38c1,802$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11673651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Over45c1,773$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.191855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under47c1,667$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.0419651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over40c1,168$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2460049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under62c1,114$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over37c1,035$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.057164.8%46 W · 25 L+10.7wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6302955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Over53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47014837.2%55 W · 93 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Over66c962.02$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.025540%22 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Over55c902.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.586738.8%26 W · 41 L-7.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over52c849.87$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.946240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38414151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over52c769.23$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.2313752.6%72 W · 65 L+10.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under61c649.34$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1320757.5%119 W · 88 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Under69c524.55$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4210548.6%51 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c1…32f7backed Under49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Over52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7716737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Over41c449.99$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over53c374.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.139855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under53c355.35$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042a…7f4cbacked Under41c324.39$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c303$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4726649.6%132 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over55c274.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.034944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under44c242.29$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5932043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d3…80b9backed Under49c222$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.781526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.4wins-0.29per pick56cpaid-53.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x55b6…09e2backed Over54c215.15$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.152334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-41%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadd5…57eebacked Over51c159.91$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.36922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under50c152.17$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2514844.6%66 W · 82 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c147$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.453348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under43c116$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8819439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb3…05e5backed Over53c111.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.638733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over36c100.05$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.1519124.6%47 W · 144 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1511048.2%53 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Over45c85.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4731032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf69…e285backed Under50c84.3$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over50c80.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0220354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.918245.6%83 W · 99 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under53c66.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7534247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x522b…5160backed Under60c65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over52c60.96$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1534652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c44.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.716349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0f…09debacked Over45c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.917841%32 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8470…7933backed Under51c42.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x660f…ec30backed Over79c42.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.746848.5%33 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b0a…c378backed Under49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dbc…d46fbacked Over52c40.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.812756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4840…2473backed Under72c37.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2530%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over28c37.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2512748%61 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744040%16 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Over41c36.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.515145.1%23 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over52c30.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.772552%13 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba7c…38c7backed Under49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+23.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Under54c30.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.213050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.417255.2%95 W · 77 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6e…6a74backed Over52c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1212148.8%59 W · 62 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1a7…07cdbacked Over48c22.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.453857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0820944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Over57c20.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.684860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8d…4dc6backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+45.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x562c…e035backed Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.62040%8 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over74c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.953135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.