TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Falconsof Rams, Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$728,631
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,071,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,631 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Falcons56c341,178$191,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149,794.462065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Rams44c195,899$86,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,401.3186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Rams44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,00016955%93 W · 76 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rams44c10,568$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,611.971,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Rams43c10,151$4,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,364.9356852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Rams43c7,479$3,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,215.813560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Falcons55c6,007$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.1419152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Rams51c5,908$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018140.9%74 W · 107 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+42.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Rams45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9923937.7%90 W · 149 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Falcons55c4,263$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.088551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Rams45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Falcons55c3,560$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60220661.2%126 W · 80 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rams44c2,998$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.1165048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Rams45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Falcons55c2,100$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.986264.5%40 W · 22 L+12.4wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+141.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Rams43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Rams48c1,659$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Rams45c1,471$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.077361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Falcons52c1,242$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.1214035%49 W · 91 L-12.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7b6…31e9backed Rams45c1,204$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-44%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rams44c1,130$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.1983147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Rams48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002755.6%15 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+39.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Falcons56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44018650.5%94 W · 92 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9723…77d8backed Rams44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Falcons55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.097661.8%47 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Rams43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34413959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Falcons55c742.71$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.2975852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Falcons55c740$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33377052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Falcons55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2708650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Falcons53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.046755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Falcons52c550$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2645939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rams43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17220555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed Falcons56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Rams43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12916957.4%97 W · 72 L+15.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Rams44c293.29$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0253253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Rams46c278.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Falcons55c274.26$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.7539447.7%188 W · 206 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Rams44c262.91$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.686663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Rams43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.211859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6b9…a373backed Rams45c220$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Falcons50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Falcons55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Rams43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8610752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Falcons51c199.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.979651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e16cbacked Rams47c197$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Falcons53c182.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.973651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ae…2103backed Falcons56c180.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.311520%3 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-60.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Rams43c180$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.412057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Rams44c179.64$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7920354.7%111 W · 92 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Falcons56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5712548.8%61 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Rams45c159.61$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729855.1%54 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d1a…d0c8backed Rams45c142.23$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.415752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Rams43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.612356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Rams45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5411048.2%53 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Rams43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.611056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c4…01bdbacked Rams45c112.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffb8…3d6ebacked Falcons56c111$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…9ad6backed Falcons56c107.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.145558.2%32 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…530fbacked Rams46c100.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.634259.5%25 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Rams48c100.31$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.632240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b79…3c8cbacked Rams50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012843%55 W · 73 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Falcons56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411855.9%66 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Falcons53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4724352.7%128 W · 115 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rams45c96.75$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Falcons52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.155648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x266b…b188backed Rams46c95.65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6564…8846backed Falcons55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.914158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe622…18cabacked Rams49c89.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.791637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46ed…cfa6backed Rams48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012250%61 W · 61 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f5…353ebacked Falcons56c80.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.363271.9%23 W · 9 L+7.4wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+47.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Rams43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.410964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb78d…835dbacked Rams48c79.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3822053.2%117 W · 103 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbae0…5cd6backed Falcons56c78.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f2…6d82backed Rams46c76.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rams45c74.14$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3654451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Rams50c69.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.716940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Rams45c65.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.568552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Falcons54c60.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6234652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Rams43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4050…6265backed Rams45c58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0857…5bedbacked Falcons55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.553053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Rams46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36f…6fefbacked Rams45c53.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf91c…8924backed Rams45c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Rams48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2413844.9%62 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf35…b327backed Rams50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516946.7%79 W · 90 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Rams46c49.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xed21…a2a1backed Falcons54c48.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.156165.6%40 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x715c…78c0backed Rams45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e69…200ebacked Falcons56c43.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.963948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Rams48c41.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Rams43c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.212459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbb4…36c3backed Rams50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204734%16 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Rams45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.812756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Rams44c39.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5915353.6%82 W · 71 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rams47c38.42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0636826.9%99 W · 269 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Falcons56c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7215352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Falcons54c37.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2515746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0edb…8260backed Falcons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.364434.1%15 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xad4d…a35abacked Falcons55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.362157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.