TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3cee…0ad1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+129.8%+$182.32
O/U 56.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55.57
O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$56.58
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$43.01
Miami vs. Ohio State: O/U 40.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$35
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.77
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.36
USC vs. TCU: O/U 56.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Tennessee vs. Illinois: O/U 62.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
North Texas vs. San Diego State: O/U 53.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$17.96
California vs. Hawaii: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+104.1%+$51
Western Kentucky vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Falcons: O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+108.3%+$29.24
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Eagles vs. Bills: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+67.9%+$56.5
Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 34.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$66.25
Ravens vs. Packers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Clippersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jazz vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$389.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.