College Football · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Illinois: O/U 62.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910e850791d071948b2976263c7f70addd215c43b4b57a929ab850f9b03fdc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Under | 52c | 21,096$10,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,129.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 12,520$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,054.13 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 11,527$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.15 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 51c | 7,156$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.5 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 1,303$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Over | 49c | 1,247$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.8 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +8.7wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 49c | 536$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.64 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 265.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.32per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Under | 52c | 134$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…0ad1backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee vs. Illinois: O/U 62.5this page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)Illinois won
- Tennessee vs. IllinoisIllinois won
- Tennessee vs. Illinois: 1H MoneylineIllinois won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.