College Football · resolved market
Tennessee vs. Illinois: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafdfc42ae45604bb83b203ab7df2e217f302a814c1a4a3ab697c478207becb3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof Tennessee, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Illinois | 45c | 1,606$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Illinois | 46c | 1,045$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.85 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2058…cf57backed Tennessee | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Tennessee | 68c | 856.26$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.52 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Tennessee | 55c | 677.25$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.49 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Illinois | 34c | 568.45$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.18 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76fa…1d80backed Illinois | 44c | 499.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Illinois | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…5173backed Tennessee | 56c | 175.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Illinois | 45c | 111$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…522dbacked Tennessee | 62c | 79.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…2fc5backed Tennessee | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Illinois | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x078a…ca98backed Tennessee | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…cca3backed Tennessee | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Tennessee | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…0cc5backed Tennessee | 64c | 49.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Tennessee | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Tennessee | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Illinois | 49c | 32.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcde…dc58backed Tennessee | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…a6a9backed Tennessee | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…a8edbacked Tennessee | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed Illinois | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…67dfbacked Tennessee | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Tennessee | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Tennessee | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee vs. Illinois: 1H Moneylinethis page
- O/U 61.5Under won
- Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)Illinois won
- Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)Illinois won
- Tennessee vs. IllinoisIllinois won
- Tennessee vs. Illinois: O/U 62.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.