TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Illinoisof Tennessee, Illinois
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,312,398
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,806,392

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,398 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Illinois58c483,706$279,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203,8032759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Tennessee42c250,000$105,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104,999.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Tennessee42c105,964$44,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,505.0616234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Tennessee48c70,029$33,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,335.4352449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x801e…ad90backed Illinois53c69,711$36,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,764.243275%24 W · 8 L+7.6wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Tennessee44c67,646$29,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,838.2693548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Illinois53c58,828$31,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,764.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Illinois52c45,719$23,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,944.95750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Tennessee45c43,555$19,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,469.1221055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tennessee42c26,729$11,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,337.4352641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Tennessee47c25,000$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7503354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Tennessee43c23,578$10,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,209.3215352.3%80 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Tennessee46c21,569$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Tennessee42c14,830$6,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,220.644163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Illinois57c13,452$7,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,784.1732745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tennessee48c10,400$4,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,99211849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tennessee47c10,017$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.6539954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Tennessee47c9,741$4,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,578.064151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Illinois69c8,089$5,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.922250%11 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Illinois54c6,666$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,066.3622750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee42c5,455$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.6562843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Tennessee43c5,444$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.923158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Illinois56c4,322$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.833857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Illinois53c4,151$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,944.181844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Tennessee44c3,089$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.29635.4%34 W · 62 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Tennessee47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4102564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba1f…e0debacked Tennessee47c2,916$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Tennessee43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755942.4%25 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Illinois50c2,441$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.515345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Tennessee43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8601136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Tennessee42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8407254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Illinois56c1,905$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.22035%7 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Illinois54c1,709$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.582,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…0b5fbacked Illinois57c1,651$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.992544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Tennessee43c1,614$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.029051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Illinois55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67511149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Tennessee43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64513417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b4f…37b8backed Illinois76c1,331$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.571266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd28…4f0cbacked Tennessee1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Illinois54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.864770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Tennessee44c1,008$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.0438450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Illinois57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.193357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tennessee47c874.47$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Illinois55c850$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3862642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…73acbacked Tennessee43c800$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34450%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Tennessee45c746.05$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.141225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Illinois54c731.03$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.2711851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tennessee48c728$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.0763243.7%276 W · 356 L+34.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Illinois57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.752347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Tennessee49c675.46$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Tennessee48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Illinois57c555$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.653759.5%22 W · 15 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+600.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tennessee38c538.57$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.2554243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tennessee35c528.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.894841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe529…245dbacked Tennessee43c499.99$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Tennessee23c405.64$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.8226940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee21…3721backed Illinois54c403.67$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tennessee47c400$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18910346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Illinois53c399.98$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.995137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Tennessee48c386$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2821644.9%97 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x778f…970abacked Tennessee47c384.53$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Tennessee38c382.56$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14518338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Tennessee44c379.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.191637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Illinois57c347.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.851136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Illinois58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.838078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Tennessee44c316.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Illinois65c309.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.23771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed Tennessee44c304.39$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ba…5435backed Tennessee46c300$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1374250%21 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Illinois56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8617450%87 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Tennessee48c264.58$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1271735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Tennessee50c246.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.344736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Illinois59c230.38$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1312346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03c4…01bdbacked Tennessee44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Illinois58c215.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.422653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Tennessee47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-74.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8160…c908backed Tennessee47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Tennessee45c212.67$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x397d…794fbacked Illinois53c207$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.294443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Tennessee46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd79c…a0e7backed Illinois53c190.57$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.574254.8%23 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ab…3258backed Tennessee47c186.14$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Illinois55c180$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Illinois56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Illinois57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.32per pick47cpaid+72.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Illinois58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416966.7%46 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Illinois56c166.07$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.07922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-57.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Tennessee48c158.42$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6422…a346backed Tennessee47c144.5$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.4wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+52.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Tennessee44c140$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Tennessee47c133.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.828440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Illinois57c132.49$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.973240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ad…fdcebacked Illinois57c123.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.052254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Tennessee44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Illinois54c113$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.987660.5%46 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Illinois54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.116654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Illinois54c111.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.114951%25 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Tennessee42c107.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3111545.2%52 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Illinois56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4456844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Illinois45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.