TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

O/U 61.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$469,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$482,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $469,913 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaefe…1e4abacked Over51c285,727$145,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145,632.842955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under49c136,792$67,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,764.0316234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Under49c125,000$61,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,750728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-47.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Under51c94,387$47,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,623.152763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over48c21,556$10,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,378.9993548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c18,167$8,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,901.9858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over51c10,672$5,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,421.6952449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c10,100$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,04952641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0002564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10039954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c1c…dbefbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7608…46d7backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Over51c9,044$4,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,611.5238546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00019043.2%82 W · 108 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Under51c5,073$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.371735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c4,111$1,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.6462843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c3,643$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.933354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8e…349fbacked Under57c3,536$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.44366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over51c2,951$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under57c2,214$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.9785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+58%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.823852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Over51c1,966$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.494770.2%33 W · 14 L+8.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c1,530$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.749253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fd…36d1backed Over22c1,500$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.371650%8 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+54.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Over52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78015734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Under48c1,500$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.492441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b7b1backed Over17c1,487$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.51844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c1,231$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.2748546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under54c1,146$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.421650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c1,002$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.082,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50011540%46 W · 69 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Over49c897.95$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Over18c867.22$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1595238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c805.88$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115060%30 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Over9c797.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under78c796.24$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.177664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+65.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under71c737.24$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.6212346.3%57 W · 66 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc856…d209backed Over50c666$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Over2c645.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.912722.2%6 W · 21 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick2cpaid+841.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3185246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under75c583.73$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.464841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Over51c555$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.056949.3%34 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Over49c550.82$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.524736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Under49c479.59$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.598043.8%35 W · 45 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Over50c402$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20442244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006966.7%46 W · 23 L+11.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+39.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Under72c369.21$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.184833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7551…b6b1backed Over45c333.78$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Over45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over24c267$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.356753.7%36 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f11…157abacked Over52c250$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.59051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over42c236.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8920553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x657c…0cc5backed Over41c222.31$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over48c205.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8456844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a3…5249backed Under53c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.210757.9%62 W · 45 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under77c173.98$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.737443.2%32 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over22c170.47$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.757144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Over28c168$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.485637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7322…de07backed Under50c166$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+90%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under79c165$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.95771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under68c147.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9626939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under48c145$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.41838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8b…c4f6backed Over48c135.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under50c132.34$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1728440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Over51c129.41$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667553.3%40 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7c1…b554backed Over18c112.66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.83580%4 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick38cpaid+114.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Under57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.29per pick56cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014055.7%78 W · 62 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa224…4cb8backed Under74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over23c88.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4426940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over21c76.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312552%13 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under64c50.6$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3210850.9%55 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cac…f75cbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.51154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2939…e083backed Over51c49.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-56.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under50c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.539954.1%216 W · 183 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Over52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205450%27 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under50c44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick45cpaid-71.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under50c39.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.892737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02ec…5412backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207241.7%30 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd243…2dcfbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over32c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.624445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Under58c37.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5898…b538backed Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.