TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fa6…0b3b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 59 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST2650%13 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saints vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Seahawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+212.5%+$136
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)backed Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$78
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
Cardinals vs. Bengalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Cardinals vs. Bengals: O/U 53.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+26.6%+$42
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$126
Spread: Lions (-6.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+132.6%+$114
Jaguars vs. Broncosbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+170.3%+$126
Raiders vs. Texansbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Falcons vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Jets vs. Saints: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$95.93
Jets vs. Saintsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Chiefs vs. Titansbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.04
Chargers vs. Cowboysbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Bengals vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$104
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$47.84
Chargers vs. Cardinalsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST2369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Nuggets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$94
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$74
Spread: Hawks (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$76.5
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$138
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$70.56
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+156.4%+$122
Raptors vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Pistons vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Pelicans vs. Nuggetsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$81.06
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+270.4%+$656.99
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+42.9%+$31.23
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.26
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+177.8%+$128
Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+52.1%+$68.5
Liverpool FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$72
Will Hull City AFC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$112
Will Stoke City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+203%+$134
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$122
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$103.99
Will Derby County FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$114
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$105.97
All 19 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+88.7%+$47
USC vs. TCUbacked USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$64.99
O/U 61.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Tech: O/U 49.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: Georgia Southern (-7.5)backed Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$80
LSU vs. Houstonbacked LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Army (-7.5)backed Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Connecticut vs. Army: O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$10.62
Spread: Northwestern (-10.5)backed Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$100
UNLV Runnin' vs. Ohiobacked Ohio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+233.3%+$140
Washington State vs. Utah Statebacked Washington State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Oregon (-21.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Tulane vs. Ole Missbacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Spread: Texas A&M (-3.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$45
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Missouri State vs. Arkansas Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$94
Louisiana-Lafayette vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+112.8%+$106
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canucksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$98
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Rangers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$96
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$82
Hurricanes vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$111.99
Kings vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$107
Utah vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Ducks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+78.6%+$88
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$97.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$87.93
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$216
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$88
Will Real Racing Club win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+56.2%+$61.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+85.2%+$92
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-12-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+122.2%+$110
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+53.8%+$70
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-61.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$130
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+117.4%+$108
Will Zambia win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$57
Will DR Congo win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$84
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24.5
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will Rangers FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Göztepe SK win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$116
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+143.9%+$39.9
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+81.8%+$90
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+66.7%+$56.2
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+319.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+733.3%+$176
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+62.6%+$77
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO3)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+163.2%+$123.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+144.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+66.7%+$40
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+222.6%+$138
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico Lobos vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Boise State Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.5
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HŠK Zrinjski Mostar win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-12-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+51.5%+$5.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Holstein Kiel win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+108.3%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Shakhove by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,211Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+29.3%+$354.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool beat RB Leipzig?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.