TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Cavaliers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,269
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$303,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,269 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fd7…547dbacked Hawks43c54,593$23,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,141.961163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Cavaliers59c37,013$21,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,968.53727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked Hawks32c15,379$4,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,471.112152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks29c12,999$3,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,229.161,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Cavaliers53c12,164$6,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,469.0115056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Cavaliers2c8,074$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.561,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Hawks69c7,884$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.736563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cavaliers68c6,535$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44414563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef00backed Cavaliers29c4,991$1,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Cavaliers69c4,869$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.6719650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb30…3e19backed Hawks32c3,960$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+126.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a12…e9c0backed Cavaliers70c3,464$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.636144.3%27 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Cavaliers59c3,308$1,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.929043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Cavaliers68c3,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Cavaliers46c2,936$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.0761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks30c2,700$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8901,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…8876backed Cavaliers68c2,353$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Hawks28c2,168$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.644452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Cavaliers68c2,065$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.198417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Cavaliers72c2,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Cavaliers69c1,985$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.6533752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers15c1,782$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.31,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Hawks34c1,747$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.7685347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a5e…c869backed Cavaliers70c1,687$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.476167.2%41 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Hawks37c1,617$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.8336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Cavaliers50c1,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6110546.7%49 W · 56 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc88…681abacked Hawks28c1,554$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.572142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f09…0478backed Hawks31c1,553$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac6…a6cebacked Cavaliers75c1,553$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1652536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Cavaliers67c1,539$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.184753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+66.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdc…a3f0backed Cavaliers68c1,495$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x984d…f8eabacked Cavaliers10c1,410$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.51711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick23cpaid+35.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e33…e1a5backed Cavaliers48c1,330$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Cavaliers68c1,324$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Cavaliers4c1,311$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Cavaliers63c1,289$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.548142%34 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Cavaliers55c1,275$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.4937831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe256…12f8backed Cavaliers51c1,188$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.21560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks42c1,073$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4365642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers1c1,050$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.445502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Cavaliers63c1,027$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.393860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Hawks70c1,018$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.7923956.1%134 W · 105 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…739ebacked Hawks29c1,017$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.17650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb1…73eebacked Cavaliers67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-62.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Cavaliers62c965.52$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.628129.6%24 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3586…eecfbacked Hawks53c942.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.213754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed Hawks47c907.88$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.058144.4%36 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Hawks27c899.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.992369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e44…79c9backed Hawks30c893.51$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.863540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Hawks34c887.76$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Cavaliers18c880$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1223835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e79…a15abacked Cavaliers57c876.95$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.866552.3%34 W · 31 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Cavaliers69c844.98$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.0412154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks27c817.4$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.8419642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eff…223cbacked Cavaliers46c800$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-74.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Cavaliers75c787.2$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers70c774.4$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.851,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…de68backed Cavaliers68c735.7$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Hawks43c703.22$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.8137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Cavaliers58c699.99$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4051428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+41.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Cavaliers67c699.89$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.9212451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Cavaliers71c631.55$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45015558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Hawks33c613.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3227939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Cavaliers69c598.46$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c48…6597backed Cavaliers10c531.42$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Hawks33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e8b…4f21backed Cavaliers48c500$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23912841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4759…ec88backed Cavaliers4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Cavaliers71c499.92$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9462539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…0230backed Hawks24c497.1$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.87545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x068a…331ebacked Cavaliers73c480$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.41250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9387…ce77backed Hawks32c479.11$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.791060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Hawks33c456.79$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0527735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Cavaliers13c450$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3252…4666backed Cavaliers12c427.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1180%0 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe49a…b3d2backed Hawks73c412.37$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Cavaliers72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2889045.6%41 W · 49 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Cavaliers65c372.87$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.71,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3b…5911backed Cavaliers68c367.72$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.052556%14 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Cavaliers68c360.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24515149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Hawks31c355.06$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.417244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Hawks38c352.42$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.0445135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…ee60backed Cavaliers73c350$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.510054%54 W · 46 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15a9…e300backed Cavaliers32c341.2$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.771323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-49.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb66a…ac39backed Cavaliers70c323.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks31c317.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6572341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d0f…b15abacked Cavaliers70c302.5$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers74c300$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22289353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cavaliers72c300$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2171,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc689…9279backed Cavaliers69c300$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2075151%26 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Hawks28c294.57$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6811952.9%63 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc141…fc95backed Cavaliers68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Cavaliers68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…a51abacked Cavaliers74c290$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.629652.7%156 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed6…da8abacked Cavaliers70c287.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Cavaliers57c278.05$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4911834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff5…ce78backed Hawks57c277.27$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.