Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab69c206e82d6463366c7b19fb13f58f7909d3a8defac7eca797f1295711dd78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pipsqueak+4of Pipsqueak+4, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,696
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,696 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa3a9…a2a4backed Amaru Gaming | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 7,775$5,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Amaru Gaming | 17c | 4,973$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.69 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Amaru Gaming | 27c | 3,841$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.04 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…d1abbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 3,238$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.4 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Amaru Gaming | 3c | 2,723$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0337…57eabacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 2,140$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 2,006$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 1,788$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.82 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 1,459$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eae…fbaebacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 1,457$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8b…5f7cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 1,428$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 1,426$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 1,200$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 1,110$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc66…ca98backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b42…cda2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 1,100$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…4a40backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 1,050$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…3e28backed Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 1,050$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 947.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.54 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 902$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.56 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 899.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe82c…b2c9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 740$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…5645backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 730$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…8062backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…9862backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 670$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Amaru Gaming | 27c | 580$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 555$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.7 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 78c | 519.71$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.45 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Amaru Gaming | 25c | 501.34$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 369.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 315.66$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 250$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba9…2ccabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 245.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.23 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 241$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.35 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 234.38$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3371…cd8fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 204.11$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 203$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…7209backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 203$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 191.78$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Amaru Gaming | 9c | 170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 168.49$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b2…f114backed Amaru Gaming | 11c | 158.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 151 | 31.8%48 W · 103 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Amaru Gaming | 22c | 156.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 145.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 124.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 114$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 69c | 112.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 107.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 107$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…252bbacked Amaru Gaming | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Amaru Gaming | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…1b11backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Amaru Gaming | 32c | 71.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 225 | 38.7%87 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Amaru Gaming | 22c | 68.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…fe6dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5d…99ebbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 75c | 49.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 146 | 68.5%100 W · 46 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 43cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa6…155dbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfd…3191backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…53b6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…47f8backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Pipsqueak+4 | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…da3ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 72c | 22.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…5b72backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.