TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaca…c1f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
51
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.88
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$32.39
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$20.81
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.78
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$24.68
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$18.3
Pelicans vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+117.4%+$24.91
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$29.8
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$23.85
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+143.9%+$27.05
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 7, 2025, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Ravensbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,017Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$321.25
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$22.53
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$16.6
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST-100%-$13.47
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$23.87
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+100%+$22.68
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$22.02
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$21.75
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Cardinals vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 5 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,102.53
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+257.1%+$1,066.32
Will Valencia vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$398.58
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$481.89
Princeton Tigers vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Princeton Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$421.95
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$22.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+257.1%+$1,028.16
Will CA Banfield win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$490.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo vs. Miami (OH)backed Miami (OH) · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600.14
UCF vs. Baylorbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$675.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Sebastian Korda vs Alex Michelsenbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,005.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Omega vs ENCE Academy (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagebacked ENCE Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,016.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+153.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+153.1%+$30.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-10-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$378.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$338
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Amaru Gaming (BO3)backed Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$413.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,013Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,013.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.