NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4964e9c6574bb0c03c7b0ab4fc35f161729f5bc55bc3352dede68940c24807c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $293,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $341,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $293,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 59c | 25,416$14,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,514.78 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Raptors | 25c | 15,476$3,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.18 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 28c | 12,022$3,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,413.61 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 16c | 10,240$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782a…a924backed Raptors | 46c | 10,036$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…5d35backed Magic | 54c | 10,021$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,609.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…81e1backed Raptors | 0c | 9,215$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Raptors | 23c | 6,165$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.8 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors | 26c | 5,719$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.74 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Raptors | 0c | 4,348$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 34c | 4,161$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.67 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Raptors | 17c | 4,010$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.7 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Raptors | 47c | 3,740$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.43 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,660$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.6 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Raptors | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors | 46c | 2,770$1,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.68 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,231$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.91 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 27c | 2,056$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.96 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Raptors | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb858…9594backed Raptors | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Magic | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Magic | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.98 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Magic | 53c | 1,806$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.94 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Raptors | 23c | 1,789$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.26 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors | 45c | 1,705$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.1 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Magic | 57c | 1,695$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.77 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Magic | 55c | 1,350$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.5 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 44c | 1,311$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.81 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…409cbacked Magic | 54c | 1,303$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…cce0backed Raptors | 47c | 1,298$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Raptors | 30c | 1,242$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.64 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors | 26c | 1,216$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Raptors | 45c | 1,102$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.29 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors | 2c | 1,083$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Magic | 78c | 1,005$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.37 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 60c | 1,004$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.43 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…29cabacked Magic | 53c | 1,000$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Magic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 62c | 1,000$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.08 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic | 54c | 1,000$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.31 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Magic | 54c | 1,000$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.5 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff11…216dbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Raptors | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Raptors | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Magic | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Magic | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Magic | 55c | 909.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.07 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Magic | 53c | 897.42$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.79 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 55c | 895.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.85 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Raptors | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Raptors | 48c | 879.17$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 47c | 876.89$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.44 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…d3cfbacked Raptors | 47c | 846$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…10c8backed Magic | 54c | 846$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 62c | 791.29$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.69 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Magic | 55c | 757$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.65 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c6…6478backed Magic | 55c | 750.91$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Raptors | 46c | 749.57$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Raptors | 45c | 729.55$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.3 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Magic | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Raptors | 34c | 699.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Magic | 54c | 664.42$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.63 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Magic | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…2a9abacked Raptors | 46c | 656.46$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…a969backed Magic | 55c | 656.36$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 4c | 650.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Magic | 55c | 636.38$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.38 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Magic | 53c | 612.64$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…903cbacked Raptors | 45c | 601$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 52c | 599.98$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Magic | 52c | 577.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.39 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Raptors | 48c | 577.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Raptors | 5c | 551.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Raptors | 4c | 531.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Raptors | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…7094backed Magic | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Magic | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Magic | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Raptors | 29c | 499.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Magic | 54c | 474.13$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.13 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Raptors | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Magic | 53c | 454$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Raptors | 48c | 436.46$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Magic | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Magic | 52c | 381.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raptors | 36c | 356.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Raptors | 45c | 344.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.27 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Magic | 64c | 340.76$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.74 | 174 | 64.9%113 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…edbfbacked Raptors | 48c | 334.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 45c | 332.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.84 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Raptors | 48c | 331.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 389 | 42.9%167 W · 222 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 45c | 330.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.58 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Magic | 55c | 328.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7557…7114backed Raptors | 47c | 325.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.