Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e5e3bb85e545e65b472fafb2d946b404aaacde224bcae7c2d38bc3158d1039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked Yes | 44c | 13,041$5,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,768.24 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed No | 56c | 5,623$3,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,474.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 58c | 4,053$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.73 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 42c | 3,990$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.8 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 53c | 3,093$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.71 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 56c | 2,700$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.32 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 57c | 2,281$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.38 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 55c | 1,693$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.73 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 53c | 1,403$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.38 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Yes | 46c | 1,002$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…2429backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30e6…3c04backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 53c | 896$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 45c | 785.97$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.93 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes | 45c | 667.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 45c | 549.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 56c | 531.87$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 42c | 389.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 45c | 299.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480c…81f2backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 58c | 198.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 55c | 196.67$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 56c | 162$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 71c | 70.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6f34backed Yes | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed No | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed No | 55c | 56.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Yes | 46c | 49.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed No | 54c | 49.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…6b3ebacked Yes | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36e…f9adbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 54c | 44.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed No | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…f87dbacked No | 54c | 42.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 54c | 40.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa882…300fbacked Yes | 48c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcad3…b69fbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1592…1e14backed No | 52c | 25.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…a523backed No | 52c | 25.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…4a1cbacked Yes | 48c | 24.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…2d09backed Yes | 49c | 23.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…eff4backed No | 52c | 21.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…f8cbbacked Yes | 49c | 21.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…e16abacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-02?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-02?Yes won
- Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.