Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e3f9db3f81a2f393938d4207d86a2d9c0bb2661e1b4b4571ba3c27cbab0038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 30c | 12,651$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,855.57 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 70c | 11,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.96 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 6,300$4,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,450.8 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 5,050$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,585.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 41c | 4,960$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.15 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 4,496$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.09 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 30c | 3,060$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.58 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 37c | 2,355$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.39 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 71c | 1,716$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.39 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 62c | 1,463$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.91 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,136$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.86 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,010$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 5c | 999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 62c | 887.28$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 69c | 759$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 3c | 620.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 70c | 607.99$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.48 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 69c | 520.29$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.29 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 31c | 397.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.36 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 344$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…7587backed Yes | 29c | 255.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +4.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 32c | 187.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.92 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 30c | 173.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 69c | 170.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.77 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 69c | 159.34$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.78 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Yes | 30c | 150.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 33c | 117.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 30c | 97.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 79.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed No | 70c | 71.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 27c | 62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46e0…8b20backed Yes | 32c | 61.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 30c | 56.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…89b7backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…7300backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…88d0backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 69c | 34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd139…8253backed No | 72c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 75cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 73c | 16.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 68c | 15.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-02?this page
- Will Brighton vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.