La Liga · resolved market
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4a690d1750808b963c243b674773115f8fdf4bc92fd89d44ca1942d46161cfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,558 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed No | 59c | 1,869$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,867$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,420$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 44c | 1,110$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.06 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 59c | 740.91$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.13 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 720.34$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.67 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 614.75$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.6 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 57c | 441.9$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.88 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 39c | 412.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.27 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 41c | 396$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…63d3backed No | 57c | 349.87$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…eacebacked No | 57c | 345.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bd…9efbbacked Yes | 44c | 341.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…fb52backed Yes | 44c | 340.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 321.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.08 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 313.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 52c | 252.08$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 78c | 206.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 201.18$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 37c | 161.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 41c | 153.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 130.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.81 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 113.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 65c | 107.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 62c | 105.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 47c | 101$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 76c | 87.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 59c | 86.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 58c | 75.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 66.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 42c | 60.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 38c | 53.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 37.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 58c | 37.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 40c | 36.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 29.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 59c | 18.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Burgos CF win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Burgos CF vs. Córdoba CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.