TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Raptors vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Raptors, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$425,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$429,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 791 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Jazz29c41,230$11,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,988.7333931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Jazz56c30,979$17,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,210.215261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Raptors50c20,210$10,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12627251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x242e…ee63backed Raptors48c19,665$9,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,247.192568%17 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors78c16,221$12,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,507.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Jazz52c8,606$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,513.9628241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Jazz51c7,765$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.6334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz53c6,903$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.71,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Raptors80c6,885$5,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.243666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Jazz55c6,335$3,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,477.0449849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Jazz55c5,000$2,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.861,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Raptors45c4,796$2,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,626.7856945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Raptors66c4,645$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.234050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Jazz55c4,221$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,318.6120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Jazz37c4,070$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.9222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d02…edbfbacked Raptors45c3,958$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,176.781957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Raptors46c2,640$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.3630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Jazz58c2,583$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.123636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Jazz56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Raptors42c2,416$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.967851.3%40 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Raptors46c2,390$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.7537448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Jazz1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Jazz5c2,000$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7326124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Jazz56c1,964$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Raptors46c1,852$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.861973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Jazz29c1,826$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.7570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Raptors48c1,749$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.4793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Jazz10c1,705$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.18783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors48c1,700$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8841,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Jazz53c1,628$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.9636434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Raptors45c1,610$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.5350245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Raptors47c1,533$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.7115741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Jazz55c1,501$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.55955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x310d…b64dbacked Jazz54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8104330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Raptors45c1,499$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.453542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd200…06b1backed Jazz56c1,143$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.183348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Raptors44c1,143$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.1834524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Jazz40c1,115$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45023554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Raptors48c1,086$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.0427735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Raptors44c1,030$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Raptors44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56010042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Raptors55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Raptors44c999.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.9932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Jazz56c990.23$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz55c922.51$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.381,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Raptors56c901.75$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.7526640.2%107 W · 159 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Jazz55c890$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.3350453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Jazz53c850$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.522955.9%128 W · 101 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Jazz55c821.96$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.0830251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Jazz55c814.97$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.0918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Raptors46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jazz55c718.18$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.181,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz41c680.84$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jazz54c672.94$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3957760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors44c644$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Raptors44c637$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.6868642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Jazz54c584$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.131,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Raptors55c579.03$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5126431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Raptors61c577.14$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.1417044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Raptors44c576.86$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Raptors50c555$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.281513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-76.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz55c546$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.32,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Raptors46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4829643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6330…4546backed Raptors48c536.04$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.748267.1%55 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors46c534.82$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.4185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Raptors48c519$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.8814161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Raptors44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28045743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8be4…bec9backed Raptors52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2404862.5%30 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Jazz25c500$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12625039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors46c496$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4f…5241backed Raptors65c479.75$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9115341.8%64 W · 89 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Jazz54c478.23$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.0761345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz51c444.03$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.245,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Raptors45c434.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1410246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Raptors46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.781241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Jazz44c429.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10d…acc6backed Raptors49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.162864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+36.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Raptors44c399.99$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22422939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Jazz55c333$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.1550047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Raptors44c331.99$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9127840.6%113 W · 165 L-22.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6294…2958backed Jazz56c327.93$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.643554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d4b…c5d4backed Raptors46c312.5$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.754553.3%24 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked Jazz56c310.71$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1745653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Raptors60c300$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.58947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Raptors56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Raptors46c299.99$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16270153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ace…c22dbacked Jazz56c283.23$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.614065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xac44…2468backed Raptors45c275.64$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.774250%21 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Raptors45c273.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.694050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Jazz55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6391…bc1cbacked Jazz56c269$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.648052.5%42 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+30%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf585…f019backed Raptors56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.864148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed Raptors45c265.87$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.234151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…dc04backed Raptors57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1617136.8%63 W · 108 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39ec…f9f6backed Raptors78c262$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.411376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd3…f11cbacked Jazz56c260.25$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.124156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Raptors78c256.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5236751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Raptors45c250$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.57549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.