MLB · resolved market
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14186385879bd30af0c567cc70256af69b3f1f7cfea08d83327df651c7932a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Diamondbacks, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $197,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,840
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $197,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 117,593$58,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,714.12 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.99 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 13,367$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.95 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd84…b5b0backed Diamondbacks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 5,807$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.7 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 67c | 4,376$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.15 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 4,181$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 3,059$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,532$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.75 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.95 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 2,234$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 2,049$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.25 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Blue Jays | 79c | 2,001$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.33 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Blue Jays | 68c | 1,784$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.27 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 28c | 1,760$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.13 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,555$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,503$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.06 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…5866backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 1,400$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 2c | 1,279$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Blue Jays | 73c | 1,232$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.83 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 1,222$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.58 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Blue Jays | 50c | 1,153$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.26 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,088$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.12 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Diamondbacks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Blue Jays | 76c | 923.74$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.72 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Diamondbacks | 16c | 920.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 847.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 817.53$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.59 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 804.94$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.37 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…2248backed Blue Jays | 51c | 759.88$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Diamondbacks | 15c | 750$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 676.02$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.25 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 47c | 593.55$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 37c | 536.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 5c | 528.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa239…89d6backed Diamondbacks | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +270.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Diamondbacks | 11c | 411.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 19c | 369$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Diamondbacks | 25c | 326.1$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Diamondbacks | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…21a4backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…0c0cbacked Diamondbacks | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27f…f4dbbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 274.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.51 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Blue Jays | 55c | 262$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…4a2abacked Diamondbacks | 16c | 245$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 51c | 233$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.17 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 233$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.17 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Blue Jays | 70c | 231.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays | 51c | 200.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.48 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 68c | 196.52$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 160.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Diamondbacks | 45c | 142.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 125.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.67 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…38e5backed Blue Jays | 67c | 120.36$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 119.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Blue Jays | 51c | 118.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 74c | 107.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jays | 75c | 107.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Blue Jays | 75c | 100.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Blue Jays | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 98.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 75c | 94.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 73c | 92.9$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Diamondbacks | 49c | 92.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…e634backed Diamondbacks | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Blue Jays | 51c | 66.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…6643backed Blue Jays | 51c | 66.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 62.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c18…1e53backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 61.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x743f…47e9backed Blue Jays | 51c | 51.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 51.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…1b62backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 50.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…3ee6backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Blue Jays | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 48.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Blue Jays | 52c | 45.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…d9c7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 45.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.