NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf82f8428d38bd79fb139ee95c67fba46c8911a0953257a9ed2f79b8e0aee2f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Senators, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $202,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7861…1104backed Senators | 55c | 105,050$57,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,777.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…b587backed Canadiens | 45c | 105,015$47,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,758.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 56c | 10,999$6,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.45 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 51c | 10,689$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,454.46 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 45c | 6,416$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,557.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Senators | 73c | 6,303$4,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.02 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Senators | 45c | 5,500$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.44 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens | 45c | 5,000$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Senators | 55c | 3,455$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Senators | 2c | 3,111$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 55c | 2,800$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.98 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Canadiens | 46c | 2,689$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.44 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Canadiens | 57c | 1,761$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.38 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 55c | 1,500$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.12 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 48c | 1,400$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 54c | 1,326$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.87 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…595fbacked Canadiens | 45c | 1,179$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Canadiens | 50c | 955.85$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.35 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Canadiens | 52c | 886.75$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 47c | 856.69$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.21 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Senators | 79c | 780$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Senators | 53c | 719.81$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.77 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Senators | 55c | 714.67$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744a…d2e1backed Senators | 55c | 700$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens | 38c | 537.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.35 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Canadiens | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d91…d0c2backed Senators | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 52c | 487.74$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 53c | 468.07$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Senators | 54c | 462.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Canadiens | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Canadiens | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Canadiens | 76c | 414.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.22 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canadiens | 42c | 401.28$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…f125backed Canadiens | 46c | 366.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Senators | 56c | 251.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Senators | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Senators | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Senators | 57c | 174.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Canadiens | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Senators | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…90d0backed Senators | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Senators | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…372abacked Canadiens | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Senators | 54c | 146$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Senators | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Senators | 56c | 125$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…fda0backed Canadiens | 45c | 120.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…873fbacked Senators | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb69…9b84backed Canadiens | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…72b3backed Canadiens | 45c | 119.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 55c | 117.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Canadiens | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Canadiens | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Canadiens | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Senators | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…f03cbacked Senators | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Senators | 80c | 106.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Canadiens | 45c | 102.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Canadiens | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…e522backed Senators | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bb…4405backed Senators | 56c | 89.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Senators | 56c | 89.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…d992backed Senators | 56c | 87.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…57ebbacked Canadiens | 45c | 84.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…6f52backed Canadiens | 45c | 83.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…9b71backed Senators | 56c | 83.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…e815backed Senators | 56c | 83.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…3d1cbacked Senators | 56c | 78.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…a673backed Senators | 56c | 77.36$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…8a45backed Canadiens | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Canadiens | 42c | 69.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…bd47backed Canadiens | 45c | 67.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…f433backed Canadiens | 45c | 67.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3d…9321backed Senators | 56c | 63.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Senators | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Canadiens | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ee…9e06backed Senators | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a1…b84cbacked Canadiens | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…4a69backed Senators | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde38…9f2bbacked Canadiens | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…a1c6backed Senators | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…e9eebacked Canadiens | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…e8a4backed Canadiens | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Senators | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…6af2backed Senators | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…5f2cbacked Senators | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Senators | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…b859backed Senators | 56c | 48.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…c1f9backed Canadiens | 45c | 48.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…d377backed Canadiens | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8763…6cc0backed Canadiens | 45c | 44.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…2973backed Senators | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…a2a4backed Senators | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.