TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee6e…b859

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,016.19
Jets vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$19.73
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$25.12
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.74
Lightning vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$24.83
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.89
Senators vs. Canadiensbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.25
Capitals vs. Kingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Wild vs. Krakenbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.05
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$27.87
Hurricanes vs. Wildbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.65
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-55.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,121.76
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.22
Suns vs. Spursbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.55
Pacers vs. Spursbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST+81.8%+$20.8
Magic vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+159.2%+$29.61
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.18
Packers vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2024, EST+56.3%+$13.84
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+100%+$23.66
Browns vs. Saintsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+96.1%+$24.55
Jets vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+112.8%+$26.78
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.23
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$22.66
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.12
Diamondbacks vs. Bravesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+163.1%+$1,047.69
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+108.3%+$23.7
Will Fulham win on 2025-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.34
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-9.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$658.71
Tennessee vs. Kentuckybacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$381.16
Texas A&M vs. Arkansasbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,083Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+37%+$400.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+257.1%+$977.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Rayo Vallecano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$412Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+244.8%+$1,008.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$440.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$487.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$499.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gujarat Titans vs. Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,032.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.