TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,864
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$142,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,864 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f63…1c91backed Diamondbacks44c28,731$12,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,089.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f2…d0a5backed Braves56c26,304$14,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,730.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Braves57c22,250$12,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,682.3814747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Diamondbacks43c15,349$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,748.8720850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves16c7,016$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.652,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Diamondbacks40c4,065$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.821740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves38c3,068$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.199,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves36c3,027$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.031,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks65c2,890$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.4328447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2bdb…e57fbacked Diamondbacks40c2,618$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d41…eba3backed Diamondbacks40c2,549$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0b…7888backed Braves56c2,427$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks43c1,945$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.751,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…a7d5backed Diamondbacks43c1,803$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4eb…161fbacked Braves57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc36f…9ab5backed Braves60c1,776$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves45c1,720$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.8241643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e7…6eb6backed Braves60c1,700$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0546…2496backed Braves60c1,691$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Braves26c1,689$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.4286751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Braves20c1,515$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.6979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Braves20c1,510$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0940547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Braves56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8403452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9718…fa5dbacked Diamondbacks44c1,490$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Diamondbacks77c1,378$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.443759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks43c1,167$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.3188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks40c1,054$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Diamondbacks75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves57c999.67$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4133349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Diamondbacks40c944.13$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4811153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Diamondbacks44c907.52$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.211,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Diamondbacks44c894.05$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.6798149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Braves56c893.78$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.515,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves18c851.64$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.71,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4732…3b86backed Braves56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks43c655$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.241,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c7…de50backed Diamondbacks44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Braves60c591.76$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.067248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a1…a8e1backed Braves56c545.07$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.0715949.7%79 W · 80 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Braves8c538.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5103…88b9backed Braves56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x399d…01dabacked Braves56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Braves26c472.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1257951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Braves4c428.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.355053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Braves24c421.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks41c406.08$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Braves8c400.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.682488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Braves22c368.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6563942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Diamondbacks57c300$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8741751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb68…52cbbacked Diamondbacks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x67b5…9f1ebacked Diamondbacks78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.874250%21 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a3c…7c1ebacked Diamondbacks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1ac…054abacked Braves61c295.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Diamondbacks69c287.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.7815256.6%86 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves25c250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.51,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Braves32c209.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.431,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1143,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Braves8c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.538741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Braves56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves60c178.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.072,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9938…c7e8backed Diamondbacks61c147.23$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4210858.3%63 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks40c139.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.940352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Braves59c136.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3868656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Diamondbacks44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6412624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Diamondbacks39c99.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9920448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks43c94.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.32,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Braves34c83.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Diamondbacks41c82.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6454441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves56c80$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Diamondbacks44c76.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.311,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf53c…9362backed Braves57c75.44$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432429.2%7 W · 17 L-6.4wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-51.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Diamondbacks44c75$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f7b…540ebacked Diamondbacks75c68.13$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.351957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Diamondbacks40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Braves56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.641649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Diamondbacks43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.142828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Braves61c58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3815944%70 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee6e…b859backed Diamondbacks44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…93f4backed Braves58c49.91$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb130…6ee2backed Diamondbacks43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5112249.2%60 W · 62 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Diamondbacks41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5938245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks42c34.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.131,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0555…d978backed Diamondbacks40c30.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks41c27.76$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.381,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Diamondbacks69c26.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Diamondbacks41c26.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8369547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf419…3ce7backed Diamondbacks43c26.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.097946.8%37 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc12c…5b0cbacked Diamondbacks45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Diamondbacks74c23.01$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0219566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d4a…d456backed Braves57c21.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1726…3986backed Braves60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Braves56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.222445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01a7…d546backed Braves60c19.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b0d…ee43backed Braves60c16.94$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.