TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc31d…93f4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Brynaes vs. Vaexjoebacked Vaexjoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$645.06
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$26.75
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$27.91
Jets vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$25.62
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.5
Avalanche vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.22
Oilers vs. Islandersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$21.18
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$19.12
Rangers vs. Sabresbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2024, EST+75.4%+$16.37
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$569.52
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$25.33
Diamondbacks vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.95
Rays vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Reds vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.3
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$19.83
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+53.8%+$12.66
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$553Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+194.1%+$1,073.59
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-09-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,022Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$503.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2025-11-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$1,059.31
Will Manchester United win on 2025-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$27.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$1,016.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,009.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+85.2%+$20.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$494.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,033Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$401.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$387.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$428.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$703.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Lanús win on 2025-10-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,014Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,014
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.