Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6388cd03596cf8d1f2ea496ed8fcba4a626f82671ac6f5a50d9bbe060b16f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $398,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 21c | 125,000$26,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,428.64 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 70c | 111,148$77,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,554.9 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 17,451$7,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,062.88 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 10,209$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 5,910$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.23 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 63c | 5,299$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.81 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 63c | 4,994$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.05 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 32c | 3,770$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.36 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 51c | 3,567$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.65 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 60c | 1,673$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.92 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…1938backed No | 62c | 1,630$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…93f4backed Yes | 38c | 1,628$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 26c | 1,617$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.89 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.84 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 1,069$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.14 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…a5fbbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa829…bc90backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 16c | 999.92$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 37c | 957.28$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 36c | 499.94$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 14c | 469.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 29c | 450$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked No | 63c | 327.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 299.38$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.61 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 35c | 274.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 270.06$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 63c | 263.13$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.77 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 60c | 225$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed No | 44c | 224.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 38c | 210.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.14 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 48c | 167.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x922d…d82bbacked No | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked No | 62c | 126.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 122.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked No | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…788abacked No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe12…de68backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 232 | 60.8%141 W · 91 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 83.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…38e6backed No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 37c | 76.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 60c | 59.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 38c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…5ce7backed No | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 61c | 39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 62c | 38.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 61c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 61c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 61c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed No | 44c | 36.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…5b48backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493e…f994backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…2dccbacked No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…a695backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…9862backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…fe9ebacked No | 63c | 17.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.