Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0198eda29a786a9a14503e8f5c677d1b54b025c6bdf18a749b992d10a914cb07

Rebuilt 35 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 2, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $209,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $222,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,838 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes	29c	100,000$28,758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,758.3	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No	63c	17,170$10,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,352.94	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No	72c	13,496$9,659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,837.59	107	52.3%56 W · 51 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No	66c	11,699$7,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,985.67	215	60%129 W · 86 L	+15.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No	64c	10,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,600	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes	1c	8,079$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.52	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-54%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	5c	7,347$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.64	1,916	45.5%872 W · 1,044 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No	63c	4,988$3,142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,845.56	172	51.2%88 W · 84 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes	32c	4,000$1,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,280	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No	63c	3,473$2,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,285.01	89	76.4%68 W · 21 L	+17.9wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No	64c	3,456$2,212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,244.16	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	64c	3,333$2,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,214.44	1,415	40.8%577 W · 838 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e41…3745backed Yes	28c	1,865$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	40cpaid	-52%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No	63c	1,515$955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.61	110	70%77 W · 33 L	+18.3wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc759…b0d2backed Yes	13c	1,460$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.6	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	34cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No	65c	1,180$768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.23	130	50.8%66 W · 64 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes	33c	852$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.9	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+16.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No	64c	804.97$517 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.2	120	50.8%61 W · 59 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No	64c	600$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	43	32.6%14 W · 29 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No	63c	540.54$341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	84	44%37 W · 47 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-52.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes	36c	450$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	69c	405.55$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.24	339	38.1%129 W · 210 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	37c	378$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.86	240	44.2%106 W · 134 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No	67c	375.78$251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.51	351	57%200 W · 151 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes	39c	375.56$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.47	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b90…710fbacked Yes	16c	330$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	35c	300$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.27	268	45.9%123 W · 145 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes	31c	300$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e46…6b55backed Yes	34c	294.69$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-52.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No	67c	282.78$189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.75	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes	39c	253.44$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.84	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No	65c	184$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.56	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	34cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16e…dc06backed Yes	34c	148.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes	35c	138.85$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes	38c	136$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.68	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No	62c	136$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.68	75	29.3%22 W · 53 L	-14.8wins	-0.20per pick	49cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes	37c	133.36$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes	38c	131.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fc…ae50backed Yes	30c	104.48$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf316…b391backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4417…8d57backed Yes	37c	89.3$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.04	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe01a…9d5cbacked Yes	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes	34c	73.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Yes	36c	66.36$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.89	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10be…58c7backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf47e…5031backed Yes	34c	58.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb1…6240backed Yes	34c	58.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	46cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes	40c	57.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes	37c	57$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	42.6%26 W · 35 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…d7c1backed Yes	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe200…958fbacked Yes	37c	54.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes	38c	52.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10d3…1895backed Yes	38c	52.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No	77c	52.18$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.78	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed Yes	30c	48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	+6.5wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	65c	44.51$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.36	51	62.7%32 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Yes	34c	44.12$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	73c	40.94$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.93	260	40.4%105 W · 155 L	-6.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x851d…1f74backed Yes	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea9…7f33backed Yes	37c	32.43$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7988…2ceebacked Yes	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	36c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd97d…bcffbacked Yes	37c	29.27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.83	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-2.1wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x115a…097fbacked Yes	36c	28.72$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.34	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No	75c	24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	66c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	177	56.5%100 W · 77 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No	66c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	93	55.9%52 W · 41 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	66c	22$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.48	136	55.9%76 W · 60 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9d…b033backed No	63c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.29	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No	69c	17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.29	67	43.3%29 W · 38 L	-4.7wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?this page
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?No won
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-11-02?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-11-02?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event