TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x115a…097f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$30.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.66
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.03
Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$8.24
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Will Newcastle win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.31
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Fulham win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+89.3%+$31.48
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+29%+$39.63
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.18
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.93
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+42.2%+$39.01
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$52.93
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$32.68
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.47
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$10.58
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$36.25
Will Chelsea vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.92
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.95
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$59.2
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$55.66
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$37.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$13.28
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3)backed Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Top Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+25%+$5
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: FlyQuest vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$21.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$18.46
LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+28.7%+$31.53
LoL: KT Rolster vs Movistar KOI (BO1)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.43
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fnatic (BO1)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+43.5%+$39.41
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. DN Freecsbacked OKSavingsBank · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.53
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. Gen.Gbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$39.5
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. DRXbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+30.6%+$37
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+63%+$147.69
League of Legends: DRX vs. DN Freecsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$33.27
All 24 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yoon in jail before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.46
Yoon arrested by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.67
Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Lee Jun-seok win less than 2% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.61
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.62
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 5-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.12
Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+279.9%+$454.64
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.74
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$41.52
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.88
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$154.32
Will Hong Joon-pyo be the People's Power Party candidate for president?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.83
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$32.2
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.74
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.48
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$8.77
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Arsenal vs. Olympiakos Piraeus end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$130
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs DKbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$32.66
LoL: DK vs BFXbacked DK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$41.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$35.56
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
East Carolina vs. Tulanebacked Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Louisiana Tech vs. Kennesaw Statebacked Louisiana Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Earthquake 7.0 or above before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+37%+$14.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+207.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+207.8%+$64.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.