TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$163,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,679 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No41c30,000$12,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,30027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Yes59c27,140$16,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,127.273650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No1c13,010$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.5928731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No37c10,171$3,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,793.4623622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No38c9,881$3,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,755.237630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No23c8,214$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.894,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No37c6,428$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.875538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No38c6,349$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,395.898240.2%33 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No37c5,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.953633.3%12 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4944…e4c7backed Yes64c3,906$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.252965.5%19 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d61…3a5bbacked Yes64c3,297$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee44…306abacked Yes63c3,268$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked No39c2,995$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.062334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7008…c666backed Yes63c2,927$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No37c2,449$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.4616244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb5…6530backed Yes60c1,861$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.513148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes61c1,805$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.822839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.941464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes63c1,602$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77da…87ebbacked Yes63c1,592$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.73742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabbd…f261backed Yes61c1,475$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.412147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No39c1,272$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1824647.6%117 W · 129 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No39c1,266$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.539829.6%29 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes60c1,105$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.895839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed Yes62c1,100$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked No37c1,100$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4071414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.398960.7%54 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No40c1,040$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.9913235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes62c992.23$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.052867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+42.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes62c887.1$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.122551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No38c866.13$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.764843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c809.6$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.2536038.1%137 W · 223 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae87…e848backed Yes62c758.06$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6170…41d3backed No40c753.08$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.87450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No40c747.3$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.921855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7272…7135backed Yes63c700$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c673.59$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.78949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e93…a140backed Yes64c619.38$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.98785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+58.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes61c599.99$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23429250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd957…a584backed Yes62c581.08$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked No40c570$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2283953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+37.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaca3…cb95backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe375…55adbacked Yes61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Yes62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.873447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Yes64c462.36$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.451172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes64c460.94$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes62c453.66$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.393450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Yes64c420.5$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.383154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67e…b892backed Yes61c410$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed No39c406.38$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.491020%2 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Yes63c401.91$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8217240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Yes62c376.64$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1226455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc487…dc86backed Yes64c371.38$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.913151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3827…e4b7backed Yes63c362.57$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes62c348.59$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.761540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes62c337.17$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1713461.9%83 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.873145.2%14 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x967d…ef6abacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.876473.4%47 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes61c326.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.41060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eff…a6e9backed Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.58425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-59.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.464351.2%22 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf068…6184backed Yes66c302.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.185158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes64c300$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No20c294.46$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.264645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes62c285.73$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.582339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b6…6717backed Yes61c268.79$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.831957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+57%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes63c245.43$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.815545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb6…9c74backed Yes64c234.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes63c222.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.86654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Yes63c221.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd81…d892backed Yes61c219.67$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f7…7272backed Yes62c217.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8113258.3%77 W · 55 L-0.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4966…8714backed Yes80c213.31$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.72862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa19…fb67backed No22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442045%9 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cef…0d49backed Yes61c194.92$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe042…5e6bbacked Yes62c192.58$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked No37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.38943.8%39 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No37c190$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.310056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4f8…92f2backed Yes64c187.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf45…ea2cbacked Yes63c187.4$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.349047.8%43 W · 47 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes61c175.49$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes62c174.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1916442.7%70 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked No40c172.53$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.013638.9%14 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes62c172.06$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.229764.9%63 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674057.5%23 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8877…8ad4backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9311458.8%67 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.299667.7%65 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes63c160.63$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4312852.3%67 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7647…9f44backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.252544%11 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2510263.7%65 W · 37 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa349…6c56backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.