Fifa International · resolved market
Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6aacacc464eb2583dba4db17c197631474f53a68f29657e42285fd3408ab45c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,942
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,942 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Yes | 0c | 30,176$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 0c | 24,158$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,814$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.96 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 2,952$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.84 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…4ed6backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 16c | 1,873$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,802$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Yes | 16c | 1,655$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…66c9backed Yes | 16c | 1,317$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 17c | 1,080$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 14c | 915.07$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Yes | 15c | 900$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750e…a3bfbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…c480backed Yes | 15c | 649.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Yes | 3c | 440$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1537…1966backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…4067backed Yes | 15c | 280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 14c | 213.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…b580backed Yes | 18c | 210.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 16c | 209.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 53 | 7.5%4 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…811abacked Yes | 16c | 193.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…d98cbacked Yes | 17c | 159.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 17c | 156.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…29e7backed Yes | 17c | 143.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…cafbbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…8166backed Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…d11ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e9…b4a3backed Yes | 17c | 109.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4e66backed Yes | 18c | 107.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…7534backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 18c | 97.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…6c7fbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +238.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…7f8bbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…d217backed Yes | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13eb…88eebacked Yes | 19c | 72.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…8383backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?this page
- Will Türkiye vs. Georgia end in a draw?No won
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.