Fifa International · resolved market
Will Türkiye vs. Georgia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9270642277a92bfcf7eb4f5b405a2c2c346a1c2fa50393db5f9de7a8eda9f2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 3,206$2,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.46 | 178 | 42.7%76 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…9d39backed No | 78c | 1,604$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f2…f133backed Yes | 24c | 1,604$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 77c | 1,073$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.93 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 947.71$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 23c | 802.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…41d3backed Yes | 23c | 704.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…d623backed No | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e349backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Yes | 23c | 424.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked No | 76c | 399.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 22c | 237.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 132$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 77c | 75.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 78c | 53.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e93…69d5backed No | 78c | 27.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Türkiye vs. Georgia end in a draw?this page
- Will Georgia win on 2025-10-14?No won
- Will Türkiye win on 2025-10-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.