TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc67e…b892

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: AI, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category AI at 51 out of 100; worst Middle East at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.61
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$152
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+134.7%+$149.24
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.4%+$736.75
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Trove FDV above $5M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$224
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$583Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$582.95
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,014Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.3%+$568.98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,335Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+77.6%+$1,812.21
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,173Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+120%+$2,607.66
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,600Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+54.4%+$869.65
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+30.4%+$365.14
Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$600
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$304.21
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$703
Base airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$196.98
Swell airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+25.7%+$54.54
Aleo airdrop by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+118.5%+$118.52
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+134.6%+$127.34
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$427.02
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.7%+$28.96
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.1%+$13.18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Arsenal wins the Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$33.56
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$15.32
Will Victor Osimhen join Chelsea?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+149.4%+$141.3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$46.5
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+203%+$40.61
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Passion UA (BO3)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-68.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+52.7%+$527.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$47.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$392Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+27.6%+$108.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$484.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.