Token Launches · resolved market
Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa472169d91f832d5b2e70d1f350b8c0376d61323dac93decd535d6dbec82851e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,927,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,862,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,927,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 1c | 681,106$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,316.76 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c2…f533backed No | 0c | 254,613$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…6bdebacked No | 1c | 149,611$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…bf24backed No | 0c | 109,872$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed No | 0c | 100,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…8958backed No | 0c | 98,361$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf288…898fbacked No | 0c | 92,690$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf422…ea56backed No | 0c | 70,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cc…0f81backed No | 0c | 64,676$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…04d2backed No | 0c | 57,860$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…60e3backed No | 0c | 55,800$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 3c | 55,623$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.1 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +470.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 3c | 41,742$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.97 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…d651backed No | 1c | 38,234$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 52c | 37,903$19,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,855.34 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 1c | 35,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…deaabacked No | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d7…e15ebacked No | 0c | 31,980$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked No | 11c | 31,221$3,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 1c | 31,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…9297backed No | 5c | 30,703$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b5…0f8cbacked No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…7340backed No | 0c | 28,445$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b02…caa6backed No | 5c | 26,043$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfb…1f69backed No | 1c | 25,481$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c77…8656backed No | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked No | 1c | 24,263$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.73 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…cb72backed No | 1c | 22,319$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed No | 0c | 20,051$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…b0febacked No | 2c | 19,847$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +251.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 5c | 19,310$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.1 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e4…4788backed No | 1c | 18,974$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed No | 22c | 18,753$4,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,042.94 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…b947backed No | 0c | 17,052$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…a8d1backed No | 12c | 16,938$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.73 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8a73backed No | 0c | 16,672$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad7…e72bbacked No | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed No | 2c | 16,360$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.66 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…9272backed No | 0c | 16,050$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…52a2backed No | 1c | 15,982$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.43 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…e82bbacked No | 2c | 15,369$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 10c | 15,246$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 6c | 15,189$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.44 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…f4c8backed No | 9c | 15,174$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.04 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked No | 3c | 14,718$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.66 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked Yes | 56c | 14,480$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,382.32 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 48c | 14,324$6,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…9bcdbacked No | 8c | 14,052$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…5a0ebacked No | 0c | 14,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…9dd5backed No | 0c | 14,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…82d4backed No | 14c | 13,667$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2a…61d9backed No | 0c | 13,377$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…c7aebacked No | 12c | 12,785$1,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,558.57 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcab8…b955backed No | 3c | 12,759$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.03 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2890…b5ecbacked No | 1c | 12,199$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed No | 74c | 12,023$8,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,926.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…f152backed No | 2c | 11,999$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed No | 28c | 11,936$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbf…6c43backed Yes | 50c | 11,770$5,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,915.31 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…6f64backed Yes | 49c | 11,644$5,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,945.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x89ac…8e15backed No | 4c | 11,147$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f3b4backed No | 0c | 11,125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5716…d38fbacked No | 1c | 11,042$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…b0f2backed No | 8c | 10,779$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.42 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…f372backed No | 0c | 10,564$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 10c | 10,549$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.89 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f3…2dd5backed No | 0c | 10,445$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ba…c95fbacked No | 3c | 10,388$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes | 56c | 10,357$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…ac19backed No | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…ea08backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed No | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…f805backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…41c2backed No | 5c | 9,735$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…3d06backed No | 12c | 9,672$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.21 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…7c79backed No | 0c | 9,480$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…a5cbbacked No | 1c | 9,352$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…24c4backed Yes | 43c | 9,158$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,258.91 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 33c | 9,144$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,119.94 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 58c | 8,782$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.34 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 79c | 8,774$6,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.8 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd71…2da3backed No | 0c | 8,719$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef3f…9560backed Yes | 57c | 8,269$4,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,560.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed No | 0c | 8,090$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2a…6c48backed No | 0c | 7,980$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 61c | 7,787$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,057.44 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 4c | 7,697$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5216…1bbabacked No | 0c | 7,513$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed No | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed No | 10c | 7,049$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked No | 42c | 7,017$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…d501backed No | 38c | 7,010$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.41 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…a826backed No | 0c | 6,974$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…f856backed No | 50c | 6,902$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024d…b912backed No | 15c | 6,731$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 3c | 6,666$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.68 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d1…56ddbacked No | 8c | 6,624$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked No | 11c | 6,397$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.1 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 48c | 6,243$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?this page
- Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes won
- Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.