Token Launches · resolved market
Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5543a36c490f8d182e05d430f1e6f21b4acee4b3a68d20eaae7b2e17526c49cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $821,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $748,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $821,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 0c | 144,733$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.95 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…e93dbacked No | 0c | 41,000$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed No | 3c | 24,899$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.12 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 6c | 18,207$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,157.82 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c56…6bdebacked No | 6c | 16,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…82e6backed No | 1c | 15,249$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 0c | 12,134$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 0c | 11,500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 6c | 10,660$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 0c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 1c | 9,512$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed No | 2c | 9,338$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 61 | 16.4%10 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed No | 4c | 9,028$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 8c | 8,678$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…1599backed No | 1c | 8,662$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 11c | 7,784$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.79 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed No | 7c | 7,683$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…ee87backed No | 0c | 7,430$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed No | 6c | 6,800$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…d651backed No | 0c | 6,286$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 3c | 6,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…8fafbacked No | 0c | 5,732$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…174abacked No | 1c | 5,459$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 11c | 5,270$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.79 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed No | 6c | 4,609$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 10c | 4,532$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.49 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd8…a74abacked No | 2c | 4,400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 75 | 14.7%11 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…d65dbacked No | 2c | 4,400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…1c2ebacked No | 6c | 4,239$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a33…c087backed No | 16c | 3,823$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 3,407$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…0e63backed No | 1c | 3,343$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…4c08backed No | 0c | 3,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…d2cfbacked No | 7c | 2,999$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…a5cbbacked No | 1c | 2,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…9bcdbacked No | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 6c | 2,500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed No | 11c | 2,500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…db3dbacked No | 1c | 2,443$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 4c | 2,270$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…5a46backed No | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8a…e4cdbacked No | 12c | 2,109$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db1…35a9backed No | 5c | 1,914$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…41c2backed No | 6c | 1,907$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6c…f152backed No | 10c | 1,830$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 9c | 1,827$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 5c | 1,826$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.56 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed No | 5c | 1,742$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed No | 1c | 1,741$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…c7f1backed No | 1c | 1,733$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…af4cbacked No | 1c | 1,530$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…1398backed No | 11c | 1,473$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…2d73backed No | 10c | 1,433$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80b9…cedcbacked No | 10c | 1,427$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…a9bdbacked No | 4c | 1,150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed No | 9c | 1,120$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c0…52a2backed No | 2c | 1,106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ff…25f1backed No | 1c | 1,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…2a83backed No | 11c | 1,100$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…6a1dbacked No | 8c | 1,100$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 15c | 1,090$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcf…9272backed No | 12c | 1,060$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed No | 15c | 1,012$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…570abacked No | 10c | 1,010$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eca…22aebacked No | 10c | 1,004$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1309…ad99backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked No | 11c | 940.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…26b9backed No | 18c | 834.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…a34fbacked No | 12c | 826$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…6bb1backed Yes | 75c | 805.1$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.1 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…7175backed No | 4c | 800$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948c…42eebacked No | 16c | 780$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed No | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 9c | 762.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked No | 17c | 628.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed No | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…9aadbacked No | 11c | 616.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d08…9165backed No | 4c | 600$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed No | 10c | 599.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f8…c2f4backed No | 11c | 532.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…ee73backed No | 19c | 523.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…0c07backed No | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d62…8b82backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…efa3backed Yes | 78c | 499.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…64c8backed No | 15c | 457.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9f1cbacked No | 11c | 444.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked No | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd349…a466backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…99ddbacked No | 15c | 399.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…39c4backed No | 12c | 394.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 12c | 379.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…f36dbacked No | 12c | 369.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…621ebacked Yes | 63c | 356.7$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f3…104fbacked No | 6c | 339.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…a718backed No | 4c | 330$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 10c | 319$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bf…fd64backed No | 5c | 310.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 26cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked No | 5c | 306.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $1.5M committed to the Makina public sale?this page
- Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?Yes won
- Over $3M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $4M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
- Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.